Sun Communities Inc (SUI)
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-09-04
$119.44-0.34%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SUI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 24.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -6.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SUI — CFO transition
Dated 2026-08-25
CFO — Robert A. Garechana: The filing announces the appointment of a new external CFO, which is a significant management change but not a departure of a sitting executive.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a stronger recovery in the real estate sector.
Supportive ifReal estate revenue growth speeds up above 5% each year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: The lawsuit might disrupt the sale and affect financial results. It adds uncertainty to the business.
Worry ifLitigation ends well and does not affect the sale.
Less concerning ifThe lawsuit causes delays or problems with the Park Holidays Sale.
Why it matters: Updates to this guidance show how the company is doing. They also reflect market conditions.
Watch forNorth American Same Property NOI growth guidance is now above 5.2%.
Also watch forGuidance is lowered below 4.2%.
Why it matters: Closing the sale lets Sun focus on North America. This will help its finances.
Supportive ifThe sale of Park Holidays is confirmed by a press release.
Worry ifThe sale does not close by the end of 2026 or faces significant delays.
Why it matters: Updates on the buyback program show how the company manages money. They also show value for shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company reports it is buying back shares under the $1 billion program.
Worry ifNo shares are repurchased or the program is suspended.
Why it matters: This sale will make operations simpler. It will focus on core North American properties. It may improve financial flexibility and growth.
Supportive ifThe deal closes after getting approval and receiving cash.
Worry ifThe sale is delayed or fails due to regulatory issues.
Why it matters: Occupancy rates affect revenue and profits. They show how much demand there is for the properties.
Worry ifOccupancy rates for MH and RV sites decline below 97.5%.
Less concerning ifOccupancy rates for MH and RV sites stay stable or go above 98.0%.
Why it matters: This shows if the company is improving its core property income. Investors want to see growth.
Supportive ifQ2 Same Property NOI growth reported above 3% year over year.
Worry ifSame Property NOI growth reported below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: Legal outcomes can affect money made and management focus. They may impact investor trust.
Worry ifThe legal issue is resolved well with no big financial impact.
Less concerning ifThe legal issue leads to a big financial loss or operational problems.
Why it matters: The results may change how people view the company. They could also impact its money situation.
Worry ifIf the outcomes favor the company, there will be no financial penalties.
Less concerning ifIf the results lead to big financial penalties or problems, it could hurt operations.
Why it matters: Closing this sale will make operations simpler. It will focus on core properties.
Supportive ifThe sale closes for at least $1.04 billion as planned.
Worry ifThe sale is delayed or fails to close.
Why it matters: Core FFO is a key measure of profitability for REITs. Strong results indicate healthy operations.
Supportive ifCore FFO per share exceeds $1.84.
Worry ifCore FFO per share falls below $1.40.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$86 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $201 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,360 loss on $10,000 · 13.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.