Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc. (SUNS)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-05
$6.68-4.02%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-05
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.26 → 1.28 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 3 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 6, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 3 to 3; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for SUNS yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
EPS reaches about $1.19 per share in 2026 | Sunrise Realty Trust maintains a stable dividend of $0.3 per share. | Intact | EPS guidance falls below $1.19 for 2026 | Diluted EPS: $0.23 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $1.19 per share. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 6, 20260.23 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 10, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
SUNS is a rate-sensitive real estate lender, with an uncertain multi-year view rather than a clearly proven growth story. The thesis is insufficiently established because there is not enough recent financial history to assess it, while business risk is elevated.
The valuation evidence describes SUNS as cheap versus peers, though the model has medium confidence and an expectations gap of -0.67. Its priced-in tag is justified, with low fragility, meaning the evidence does not flag concentrated fragility in current expectations.
Near-term results warrant attention: second-quarter revenue and net income declined from the first quarter, and distributable earnings per share fell below the unchanged dividend. Management has made mixed progress, with stockholders approving a merger-related share issuance proposal, but completion remains pending and evidence of expanding lending activity is limited.
The multi-year thesis would benefit if the Fed begins cutting rates, while a guidance cut at the next call or weakness among real estate sector bellwethers could weigh on the business setup. Merger completion, lending results, and whether earnings support the dividend are also key swing factors.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, SUNS combines a cheap-versus-peers valuation with elevated risk and unresolved questions about execution and dividend coverage. The evidence supports a cautious, still-developing long-term thesis. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| The company improved cash from operations to $1.17 million in 2026-Q1. |
| Broken |
| operating cash flow falls below $1 million in any quarter |
Cash from operations: $370,965 FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $1,165,237. The stored target says 2026-Q4; this source reports FY2026-Q2. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Aug 6, 2026370,965 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Maintain dividend per share at $0.3 | Sunrise Realty Trust maintains a stable dividend of $0.3 per share. | Intact | dividend per share falls below $0.3 in any quarter | Dividend per share: $0.30 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $0.3 per share. The stored target says 2026-Q4; this source reports FY2026-Q2. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Aug 6, 20260.3 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$1.26 → $1.28 · observed estimates
$0.04B → $0.04B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1.26 | $39,409,650 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-07-25 | $1.26 | $39,409,650 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-07-26 | $1.26 | $39,409,650 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-07-27 | $1.26 | $39,409,650 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-07-28 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-07-29 | $1.26 | $39,409,650 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-07-30 | $1.26 | $39,409,650 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-07-31 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-01 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-02 | $1.26 | $39,409,650 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-03 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-04 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-05 | $1.26 | $39,409,650 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-06 | $1.26 | $39,409,650 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-08 | $1.24 | $41,504,650 | 4 / 2 |
| 2026-08-09 | $1.24 | $41,504,650 | 4 / 2 |
| 2026-08-10 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-12 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-13 | $1.17 | $41,504,650 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-14 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-15 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-16 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-17 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-18 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-19 | $1.32 | $28,965,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-20 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-21 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-22 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-23 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-30 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.29 | $31,060,700 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.26 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.25 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.25 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.27 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.27 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.27 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.27 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.27 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.27 | $36,472,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 2 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 1 |
| 2026-11-05 | $1.28 | $37,865,000 | 3 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 3 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 7–Nov 5 · 1 recorded
0 raises · 1 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 7, 2026–Nov 5, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.