Synaptics (SYNA)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$117.49+0.07%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SYNA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 11.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SYNA — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-15
Principal Accounting Officer — Esther Song: The Principal Accounting Officer resigned to pursue other opportunities, but the company immediately appointed an internal successor (Kermit Nolan) who is already an employee, indicating an orderly transition rather than a shock event.
Why it matters: Core IoT sales grew 43% in fiscal 2026. The next report can show whether that growth continues as Synaptics advances its Edge AI plans.
Watch forSynaptics reports Core IoT sales growth above 0% year over year.
Also watch forSynaptics reports Core IoT sales down year over year.
Why it matters: Fiscal 2026 non-GAAP gross margin was 53.7%, nearly flat from 53.6% a year earlier. A higher figure would show margin gains; a lower one would show a setback.
Watch forSynaptics reports non-GAAP gross margin above 53.7% in a later quarter.
Also watch forSynaptics reports non-GAAP gross margin below 53.7% in a later quarter.
Why it matters: The revised deal is all cash at $123 per share. Closing by mid-2027 would meet the stated timeline; a missed date would signal delay.
Watch forThe companies announce that the merger closed by mid-2027.
Also watch forThe merger has not closed by mid-2027, or either company announces that the agreement ended.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$175 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $574 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,953 loss on $10,000 · 39.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.