Expectations trend
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-05-31 · fmp
Taylor Devices Inc (TAYD)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$55.18-6.46%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
4.46 → 4.17 EPS · FY ending May 31, 2028 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for TAYD yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Free cash flow yield remains above 8% | Free cash flow yield is strong near 9.5%. | Broken | free cash flow yield falls below 8% | Free cash flow yield: 6.37% As of 2026-11-04; trailing twelve months. The target timing and basis require a separate assessment. Nov 4, 20266.37 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-05-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
TAYD is a cyclical industrial business, so its results can be affected by the health of the wider economy and sector. Its long-term thesis is on watch: recent performance is below its industry cohort, and the signal has turned cautious.
TAYD trades at a premium to peers, while the expectations gap is negative, suggesting expectations may be ahead of the current setup. The priced-in assessment is tagged justified, with low fragility because weak execution is not combined with the full set of expensive, weak, and turbulent conditions.
Near term, the risk of an earnings miss is elevated because TAYD has missed in recent quarters, including its latest one. Recent momentum and the composite insight have also weakened sharply, while management is assessed as stable and recent financial performance as neutral.
A favorable scenario depends on industrial bellwethers continuing to report strong earnings and raise guidance, which could support sector momentum. The opposing risks are weaker bellwether results and continued softening in jobs data, which could increase recession concerns and weigh more heavily on cyclical industrial businesses.
Over the next one to three years, TAYD’s thesis depends on whether execution improves and industrial conditions remain supportive; current evidence points to elevated near-term risk and a cautious watch state. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in Taylor Devices Inc's published investment case. The stated target is maintain current profit margin levels. |
| Broken |
| profit margins fall significantly below recent levels |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth of at least 14% next fiscal year | Sales are expected to grow about 14% next year. | Intact | YoY revenue growth falls below 14% in FY27 | Revenue growth: -26.4% FY2027-Q1; GAAP. Published target: >=14% YoY. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Oct 2, 2026-26.396639 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$4.25 → $4.17 · observed estimates
$0.06B → $0.06B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $4.25 | $63,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $4.46 | $66,599,999 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $4.17 | $64,200,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 0 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.