Taylor Devices Inc (TAYD)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$62.18+2.71%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TAYD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -18.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 31.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 49.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers
TAYD — officer change
Dated 2025-10-22
The filing is about the approval of a stock option plan, not a management change.
Why it matters: Higher corporate profits can mean more demand in industry. This can help Taylor Devices.
Supportive ifCorporate profits in the second estimate rise by more than 3% quarter over quarter.
Worry ifCorporate profits in the second estimate fall or stay flat quarter over quarter.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a positive shift in company momentum. This would help counter the recent decline in composite insight score.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth is over 5% compared to last year. This shows a recovery.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth remains below 5%, showing continued weakness.
Why it matters: High unemployment claims can show economic problems. This may lower demand for Taylor Devices' products.
Worry ifUnemployment claims rise above 300,000 for the week.
Less concerning ifUnemployment claims fall below 250,000 for the week.
Why it matters: The earnings report will provide insights into financial health and future guidance. This is critical after the recent drop in company momentum.
Watch forThe earnings report shows growth in revenue and profit. This shows strong performance.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows a drop in revenue and profit. This shows ongoing challenges.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$151 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $513 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,506 loss on $10,000 · 45.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth speeds up, it could benefit Taylor Devices. This would signal a healthier market.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth stays below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it may show good news for Taylor Devices.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in the industrials sector increases back toward 6% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: GDP growth affects industrial demand. A strong estimate could boost Taylor Devices' outlook.
Supportive ifGDP growth in the second estimate exceeds 2% quarter over quarter.
Worry ifGDP growth in the second estimate is below 1% quarter over quarter.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if the company can improve its revenue growth. This is key for investors.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue growth is speeding up. It is now above 4% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: The PPI can impact costs for Taylor Devices. Changes here can affect profit margins.
Watch forPPI increases by more than 0.5% month over month.
Also watch forPPI decreases or increases less than 0.5% month over month.
Why it matters: The CPI impacts inflation. It can change how much customers want Taylor Devices' products.
Watch forCPI shows an increase above 0.4% month over month.
Also watch forCPI shows a decrease or increase below 0.4% month over month.