Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-11-04
$103.34-0.75%
Close 2026-11-03 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TCBI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -36.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -16.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 230 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TCBI — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-09-14
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On September 14, 2026, Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (the “Company”), acting pursuant to authorization from its Board of Directors, notified The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) of its intention to voluntarily withdraw the listing of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.01 per share (the “Common Stock”), and its 5.75% Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock Series B, par value $0.01 pe…
Why it matters: The board approved a new share plan through October 31, 2027. Actual purchases show how the company uses that capital.
Watch forQuarterly filings report share purchases under the new plan, while CET1 stays at or above 12.2%.
Also watch forNo further purchases are reported, or CET1 falls below 12.0%.
Why it matters: Criticized loans rose to $782 million in Q3, from $696 million in Q2. A drop would ease a key credit concern.
Supportive ifIn the next results, criticized loans fall below $782 million and net charge-offs stay below $14.5 million.
Worry ifCriticized loans rise above $782 million, or net charge-offs top $14.5 million.
Why it matters: The company plans to move its listing to the Texas Stock Exchange and change its ticker. A smooth change would complete a stated company milestone.
Supportive ifStarting November 9, the shares trade on the Texas Stock Exchange as TXCP. No listing or trading issues are reported.
Worry ifThe ticker change is delayed, or the company reports a listing or trading problem.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$68 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $225 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,785 loss on $10,000 · 17.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.