Triumph Bancorp, Inc. (TFIN)
NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
$69.60+1.19%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TFIN
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $70 the market pays 1.7× p/b — above the 1.2× p/b peer median but in line with its own 2× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $41 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $87 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcff | 12M | $146.50 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $36.45 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $49.47 | 1.2 | 39.89 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $45.03 | 11.7 | 3.86 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $30.33 |
| 10.9 |
| 2.78 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $58.41 | 3.2 | 18.48 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $41.94 | 28.3 | 1.48 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $30.90 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $17.62 | 11.9 | 1.47 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $57.18 | 1.2 | 46.10 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $68.48 | 11.7 | 5.87 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $42.73 | 10.9 | 3.92 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $85.13 | 3.2 | 26.94 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $111.08 | 28.3 | 3.92 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $62.97 | 1.2 | 50.77 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $90.57 | 11.7 | 7.76 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $54.63 | 10.9 | 5.01 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $108.83 | 3.2 | 34.44 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $142.01 | 28.3 | 5.01 | Analyst | medium |