Thor Industries (THO)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$82.33-2.74%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · THO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 26.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 3 industry peers
THO — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-13
Other Events On October 13, 2026, the Board of Directors of THOR Industries, Inc. (the “Company”) declared a regular cash dividend of $0.54 per share of common stock, payable on November 10, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on October 27, 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release announcing the dividend is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein.
Why it matters: Towable margins fell to 10.5% in Q4, down 2.8 points year over year. A recovery would show that cost and product changes are helping.
Supportive ifIn fiscal Q1, North American Towable gross margin rises above 10.5% year over year. Material costs fall or discounting eases.
Worry ifFiscal Q1 North American Towable gross margin stays at or below 10.5%, or falls further year over year.
Why it matters: Europe grew sales 5% in Q4 and helped offset pressure in North America. A drop would weaken this source of support.
Worry ifFiscal Q1 European RV net sales fall below the prior-year quarter.
Less concerning ifFiscal Q1 European RV net sales stay at or above the prior-year quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$168 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $424 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,657 loss on $10,000 · 46.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.