TIC Solutions, Inc. (TIC)
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$10.70+1.33%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TIC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 314.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 303.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
TIC — private placement
Dated 2026-06-05
ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT. On June 2, 2026, TIC Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into the Third Amendment to Credit Agreement, by and among Acuren Delaware Holdco, Inc. (the “Initial Borrower”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, Acuren Holdings, Inc. (“Acuren” and together with the Initial Borrower, the “Borrowers”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, the other Loan Parties party thereto, the Refinancing Term Loan Lenders party thereto, the Revolving Cre…
Why it matters: TIC has $1.6 billion of term debt. Its liquidity fell by $64 million from Q1 to Q2.
Worry ifAt the next report, liquidity falls below $473.5 million while term loan debt remains at or above $1.6 billion.
Less concerning ifLiquidity rises above $473.5 million and term loan debt falls below $1.6 billion.
Why it matters: TIC reaffirmed its full-year revenue range. Q3 results on November 5 will show whether growth stays on track.
Supportive ifOn November 5, TIC keeps its $2,150–$2,250 million 2026 revenue outlook. Combined revenue growth is above 3.3%.
Worry ifTIC cuts its 2026 revenue outlook below $2,150 million, or combined revenue growth turns negative.
Why it matters: A larger backlog can support future work. TIC said it reached a record $1.18 billion in Q2.
Supportive ifTIC reports Consulting & Engineering and Geospatial backlog above $1.18 billion. It grew more than 20% year over year.
Worry ifCombined backlog falls below $1.18 billion, or its growth year over year turns negative.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$189 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $506 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,486 loss on $10,000 · 44.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.