Tennant Company (TNC)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$71.97+2.32%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TNC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -30.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 8.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 39.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TNC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-06
and Exhibit 99 shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
Why it matters: A good transition in the CFO role is key for keeping financial plans and trust.
Watch forAnnouncement of a new CFO before Fay West's retirement in Q2 2027.
Also watch forNo announcement of a new CFO by the end of Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows stronger operations and helps with capital plans. Weak cash flow raises concerns.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $10 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains below $10 million.
Why it matters: Revenue growth shows market demand and operational success. It’s crucial for future plans.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue exceeds $300M, showing growth from $297.9M in Q1.
Worry ifQ2 revenue falls below $297.9M.
Why it matters: A downward revision shows weak demand or ongoing problems.
Worry ifFull-year net sales guidance revised down from $1.270 billion.
Less concerning ifFull-year net sales guidance remains at or above $1.270 billion.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$128 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $296 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,731 loss on $10,000 · 27.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Zay's leadership can improve operations. This can make customers happier.
Watch forQ2 results show better operations. They also show good customer feedback.
Also watch forQ2 results show ongoing problems and bad customer feedback.
Why it matters: Orders growth is a key indicator of demand strength. A drop below 10% could signal weakening momentum.
Worry ifQ2 orders growth reported below 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 orders growth remains at or above 10% year over year.
Why it matters: This growth shows strong demand and good pricing. It helps meet revenue goals.
Supportive ifQ2 net sales growth exceeds 3.0% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 net sales growth falls below 1.0% year over year.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means the company is working more efficiently. It also shows better financial health.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive in Q2.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative in Q2.
Why it matters: A margin below 10% shows ongoing problems with making money and ERP recovery.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin for Q3 falls below 10%.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA margin for Q3 is above 10%.
Why it matters: Earnings results give clues about financial health and progress.
Watch forQ2 earnings beat what analysts expected. This shows strong financial performance.
Also watch forQ2 earnings miss expectations again. This shows ongoing struggles.
Why it matters: Hiring a new CFO quickly can help keep things stable during the change.
Supportive ifA new CFO is appointed by the end of Q1 2027.
Worry ifNo new CFO is appointed by the end of Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Improving operating income is key for Tennant's financial health. It shows cost management progress.
Supportive ifQ2 operating income increases from $4.9M in Q1 to above $10M.
Worry ifQ2 operating income is still below $4.9M.
Why it matters: Positive net income shows recovery from recent problems. This helps build investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 net income turns positive after a loss in Q1.
Worry ifQ2 net income remains negative.
Why it matters: Staying above 3% shows strong demand and good pricing plans.
Supportive ifOrganic sales growth stays above 3% each year.
Worry ifOrganic sales growth falls below 3% year over year.
Why it matters: Robotics growth over 30% shows strong demand. This helps the company's growth plans.
Supportive ifRobotics revenue growth exceeds 30% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifRobotics revenue growth falls below 20% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: A drop in orders shows weak demand. This could hurt future revenue growth.
Worry ifQ3 orders decline year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 orders increase year over year.
Why it matters: Naming a new CFO by Q1 2027 would ensure a smooth transition and maintain investor confidence.
Supportive ifTennant announces a new CFO before Q1 2027.
Worry ifNo announcement of a new CFO by Q1 2027.