TRIO PETROLEUM CORP (TPET)
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.47-13.53%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TPET
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 387.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
TPET — capital allocation — Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders
Dated 2026-08-18
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders. To the extent required by
Why it matters: Trio may fund all development costs on each project. Well costs and revenue share show how much cash the plan may need.
Worry ifTrio reports a project cost near or below C$1.8 million and an 80% revenue interest through payout.
Less concerning ifTrio reports project costs above C$1.8 million or terms below the stated 80% revenue interest through payout.
Why it matters: The first two wells test whether Trio can turn its new farm-in into more production. Croverro will run the work.
Supportive ifTrio or Croverro reports that both wells in the first earning program have begun drilling.
Worry ifDrilling has not started on the first two-well program within the stated 18-month development window.
Why it matters: The 24-well deal adds about 37 barrels per day now. Workovers would test the plan to lift output from shut-in wells.
Supportive ifTrio reports that the acquired wells produce more than 37 barrels per day after its C$425,000 workover program.
Worry ifProduction stays at or below 37 barrels per day after the workover program, or the program is not carried out.
Why it matters: Trio plans a Cummings well on the acquired land. Nearby wells give a clear rate to compare with its result.
Supportive ifTrio reports that its Cummings well reaches 375 barrels per day or more.
Worry ifTrio reports that the well produces less than 375 barrels per day, or delays the planned well.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$280 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,381 loss on $10,000 · 13.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,168 loss on $10,000 · 91.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.