TPG Inc (TPG)
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-05
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TPG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 34.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -33.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 68.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 25 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TPG — President transition
Dated 2026-09-08
President — Todd Sisitsky: The President and a Director resigned effective immediately, representing a sudden loss of senior leadership.
Why it matters: The sector is still growing, but its trend is easing. Growth below its median would confirm a further slowdown.
Worry ifThe sector's three-year revenue growth drops below its median.
Less concerning ifThe sector's three-year revenue growth stays at or above its median.
Why it matters: President Todd Sisitsky left at once in September. A named successor would show that TPG has filled a senior leadership gap.
Watch forTPG names a new president and confirms the person has taken the role.
Also watch forTPG reports no named president by the next quarterly results release.
Why it matters: The latest dividend fell to $0.55 per share from $0.59. Another cut would mark a further drop in the cash paid per share.
Worry ifTPG declares a next quarterly dividend below $0.55 per share.
Less concerning ifTPG declares a next quarterly dividend of $0.55 or more per share.
Why it matters: TPG reported nearly $42 billion raised by Q3. Passing $50 billion would show that fundraising momentum continued.
Supportive ifTPG reports more than $50 billion raised for 2026 by year-end.
Worry ifTPG reports $50 billion or less raised for 2026 by year-end.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$160 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $447 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,480 loss on $10,000 · 44.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.