T. Rowe Price (TROW)
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$112.57+5.97%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TROW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TROW — earnings miss
Dated 2026-02-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 4, 2026 we issued an earnings release reporting our results of operations for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2025. A copy of this earnings release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K and the Exhibit attached hereto shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor sh…
Why it matters: T. Rowe Price is expanding ETFs, SMAs, and model portfolios, but Q3 outflows were $28.3 billion. Better flows would show these products are gaining clients.
Supportive ifA future earnings release shows net inflows in ETFs, SMAs, and model portfolios. Total firmwide net flows are above zero.
Worry ifA future earnings release shows continued net outflows in these products. Firmwide outflows are $28.3 billion or more.
Why it matters: The quarterly dividend is a clear sign of capital returned to stockholders. A higher payment would show continued dividend growth.
Watch forThe company raises its quarterly dividend to more than $1.30 per share.
Also watch forThe company cuts its quarterly dividend below $1.30 per share.
Why it matters: Q3 outflows widened to $28.3 billion from $6.5 billion in Q2. Smaller outflows would ease concern about client losses.
Worry ifQ4 net client outflows exceed $28.3 billion, the Q3 level.
Less concerning ifQ4 net client outflows are below $28.3 billion or turn into net inflows.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$87 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $244 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,976 loss on $10,000 · 19.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.