Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
TRUGOLF HOLDINGS INC (TRUG)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.64-18.71%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for TRUG yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
4 published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Continued share buybacks to support stock price | A supporting condition in TRUGOLF HOLDINGS INC's published investment case. The stated target is Maintain or increase buyback activity over next 12 months. | Intact | Buyback program is halted or reversed | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk, early-stage growth and turnaround story, not yet a proven durable compounder. The long-term thesis is in a watch state, with the signal recently shifting from cautious to mixed.
The valuation evidence points to TRUG being cheap versus peers, while the expectations gap is negative, suggesting expectations are already demanding relative to the model. Confidence in that valuation read is low, and no fragility gates fired.
Over the multi-year view, operating and net losses have narrowed, and revenue has grown, though growth remains moderate and the business is still loss-making. Near term, the risk of an earnings miss is elevated because recent surprises have been erratic; management’s execution record is also described as volatile.
The thesis depends on continued progress toward profitability and on revenue growth from product and market expansion. The completed Polymath acquisition is a new growth initiative with limited evidence so far; sector bellwethers and economic growth are also swing factors, since weaker consumer-discretionary conditions could weigh on the business.
For the next 1 to 3 years, TRUG’s improving losses and growing revenue support the long-term thesis, but high risk, weak recent performance, and uncertain execution leave it fragile. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in TRUGOLF HOLDINGS INC's published investment case. The stated target is EPS >= -$1.68. |
| Broken |
| EPS remains below -$5.33 in FY26 or worsens |
Diluted EPS: $-0.37 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: EPS >= -$1.68. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 14, 2026-0.37 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stable management team with no major departures | A supporting condition in TRUGOLF HOLDINGS INC's published investment case. The stated target is No major officer departures over next 12 months. | Under Pressure | Major management departures occur within next 12 months | Major officer departure (CEO) vs No major departures News reports TruGolf appointed an interim CEO in September 2026, indicating a significant leadership change. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth to at least $24 million by FY27 | A primary condition in TRUGOLF HOLDINGS INC's published investment case. The stated target is >= $24 million total revenue. | Broken | total revenue falls below $19.6 million in FY26 | Revenue: $5.792M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $24 million total revenue. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 14, 20265,792,180 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-1.68 → $-16.80 · observed estimates
$0.02B → $0.02B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-1.68 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-16.80 | $24,300,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Nov 13, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
4 of 4 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.