TRUGOLF HOLDINGS INC (TRUG)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.38-5.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TRUG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TRUG — legal / regulatory event — Notice
Dated 2026-08-21
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On August 19, 2026, TruGolf Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) received a written notification from the Listing Qualifications Department of the Nasdaq Stock Market (“Nasdaq”) notifying the Company that, based on the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, the Company’s stockholders’ equity was $2,060,281, and therefore, the Company was not in compliance with N…
Why it matters: A reversal in revenue growth is critical for TruGolf's long-term strategy. Declining revenue could hinder growth efforts.
Supportive ifRevenue growth turns positive after declining from $6.74 million in 2024-Q4 to $5.79 million in 2026-Q2.
Worry ifRevenue continues to decline or remains stagnant.
Why it matters: Growth in consumer spending may show a recovery. This could help TruGolf.
Supportive ifThe consumer spending sector shows revenue growth for the first time in over a year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still negative, showing it is still shrinking.
Why it matters: If the acquisition happens, it shows TruGolf's plan in the tokenization market works. This could help growth and make investors more confident.
Supportive ifThe acquisition is successful. Polymath joins TruGolf by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe acquisition fails to close or is delayed beyond Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth is crucial for TruGolf's long-term viability and market perception. It shows business health.
Supportive ifTruGolf reports revenue growth after a drop from $6.74 million to $5.79 million.
Worry ifRevenue keeps falling, showing ongoing problems with growth.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$466 on $10,000 · ±4.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,418 loss on $10,000 · 14.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,899 loss on $10,000 · 99.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Higher operating income means the company is making more money. This helps build trust with investors.
Supportive ifOperating income shows a smaller loss than $222,006 in 2026-Q2.
Worry ifOperating income worsens, showing a larger loss than $222,006.
Why it matters: Moving to Nevada may change tax benefits and how the company operates. It is important for management.
Watch forManagement gives an update on their move to Nevada. They share a timeline.
Also watch forNo updates are shared. This may mean delays or no progress.
Why it matters: A new CFO can change financial direction and improve performance. Lack of changes may indicate ongoing issues.
Supportive ifTruGolf will announce a new financial plan or cost-saving steps with the new CFO.
Worry ifNo changes in the financial plan or performance numbers stay the same.
Why it matters: Moving to Nevada could help with rules and bring in more investors. This change may show a new company plan.
Supportive ifTruGolf shares a clear plan or timeline for moving to Nevada.
Worry ifNo news or more delays in the move to Nevada.
Why it matters: The stock buyback shows management's commitment to returning value to shareholders. If they keep buying back shares, it may support the stock price.
Supportive ifTruGolf announces another share repurchase of at least $500,000 within the next quarter.
Worry ifNo new share buybacks are announced. The program may be paused.
Why it matters: A new CFO can change how the company handles money and plans. Good changes may help the company.
Supportive ifThe company shares better financial numbers or plans under the new CFO.
Worry ifFinancial metrics remain weak or worsen after the CFO's appointment.
Why it matters: Completing the acquisition shows that TruGolf's plan in tokenization works. It may help growth.
Supportive ifThe acquisition will close by the end of Q3 2026. It must meet all rules.
Worry ifThe acquisition does not close because of unmet rules or market conditions.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would show TruGolf is turning around after recent drops.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth shows a positive year-over-year change.
Worry ifQ3 revenue keeps going down compared to last year.