TRUGOLF HOLDINGS INC (TRUG)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.64-18.71%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TRUG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -88.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 19.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 107.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers
TRUG — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-09
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Consummation of Polymath Acquisition As previously disclosed, on August 17, 2026, TruGolf Holdings, Inc., a Nevada corporation (the “Company”), entered into an Acquisition Agreement (the “Acquisition Agreement”) with 18141991 Canada Inc., a corporation incorporated under the federal laws of Canada and a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company (“SubCo”), and Polymath Research Inc., a corporation incorporated under the federal laws of Canada (“Polymath…
Why it matters: TruGolf has cut its losses, but it was still losing money in 2026-Q2. Another smaller loss would support its path toward profit.
Supportive ifThe November 13 report shows operating loss below $222,000 and net loss below $448,000.
Worry ifThe report shows operating loss above $222,000 or net loss above $448,000.
Why it matters: TruGolf completed the Polymath deal on October 9. Its first results can show whether the added business brings in revenue.
Supportive ifA report after the close shows Polymath revenue and confirms it adds to combined sales.
Worry ifA post-close report shows no Polymath revenue, or says the business has lost revenue since the deal.
Why it matters: The Polymath deal required TruGolf to meet this test before closing. A later filing can show whether the company kept its Nasdaq listing.
Supportive ifA company filing confirms listed securities were worth at least $10 million for 10 straight trading days.
Worry ifA filing says TruGolf did not meet the $10 million test or got another Nasdaq notice.
Why it matters: Sales rose to $5.79 million in 2026-Q2 from $4.31 million a year earlier. Another year-over-year gain would support growth.
Supportive ifThe November 13 report shows revenue above $5.79 million for the quarter.
Worry ifThe report shows revenue at or below $5.79 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$522 on $10,000 · ±5.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,886 loss on $10,000 · 18.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,966 loss on $10,000 · 99.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.