Tigo Energy Inc (TYGO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.00+8.91%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TYGO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -78.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 85.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers
TYGO — officer change
Dated 2026-09-08
The filing discloses the adoption and approval of an Employee Stock Purchase Plan, which is a compensatory arrangement rather than a change in management or board composition.
Why it matters: The launch delay helped drive Tigo's lower 2026 sales outlook. Q4 shipments would show the new timing is holding.
Supportive ifTigo reports shipments of its U.S.-made optimized inverter starting in Q4 2026.
Worry ifTigo reports that volume shipments have slipped past Q4 2026.
Why it matters: GO ESS made up 8.6% of Q2 revenue during its early ramp. Growth would show the battery line is adding sales.
Supportive ifA later quarterly report shows GO ESS revenue above Q2's $2.2 million.
Worry ifA later quarterly report shows GO ESS revenue at or below $2.2 million.
Why it matters: Tigo's Q2 revenue missed its guidance, and it cut its 2026 revenue outlook. A further miss would deepen that concern.
Worry ifQ3 revenue, reported on November 4, is below $24 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue is at least $24 million, within or above the guided range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$284 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $914 loss on $10,000 · 9.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,411 loss on $10,000 · 84.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.