Under Armour (Class A) (UAA)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.25+1.16%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UAA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 25.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 26.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: Unemployment claims signal consumer health. Rising claims could hurt Under Armour's sales outlook.
Worry ifUnemployment claims are down. This suggests a stronger job market and more consumer spending.
Less concerning ifUnemployment claims are up. This shows economic weakness and may lead to lower sales for Under Armour.
Why it matters: Making more money shows better cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifManagement states a clear plan to reduce losses or improve margins.
Worry ifIf management does not talk about making money, losses may continue.
Why it matters: Improving consumer spending signals could lead to better sales for Under Armour. This is important for growth.
Supportive ifAdvance Monthly Retail Trade Report shows retail sales growth above 2% year over year.
Worry ifRetail sales growth is flat or negative. This shows weak demand from consumers.
Why it matters: Cost-cutting plans could help the company make more money and stabilize its business. This is important for companies that are losing money.
Supportive ifManagement has plans to cut costs. They want to make more money.
Worry ifNo mention of cost-cutting measures or plans to address losses.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$202 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $470 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,956 loss on $10,000 · 39.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it may show that Under Armour and the sector are recovering.
Supportive ifUnder Armour reports positive revenue growth in its next earnings release on August 7, 2026.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains negative in the next earnings release.
Why it matters: Growth in the Consumer Discretionary sector may show a recovery. This could help Under Armour.
Supportive ifConsumer Discretionary sector revenue growth is now positive. It was negative for a year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still negative. This shows that contraction is ongoing.
Why it matters: If Under Armour has positive revenue growth, it may show a turnaround. This could boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifRevenue growth turns positive after being negative for the last few quarters.
Worry ifNegative revenue growth shows that the company still struggles in the market.
Why it matters: If the sector does better, it may mean people are spending more. This could help Under Armour.
Supportive ifThe Consumer Discretionary sector has done better than peers in the last 60 days.
Worry ifSector performance is still getting worse compared to peers.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals a potential shift in the consumer discretionary sector. This could hurt Under Armour's performance.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below the sector median for two consecutive quarters.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth has been above the sector median for two quarters in a row.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key to understanding if the company can turn around its losses. Positive growth would signal improvement.
Supportive ifUnder Armour has more revenue this year than last year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains negative compared to the previous year.
Why it matters: This index affects costs for Under Armour. Changes could impact pricing strategies and margins.
Watch forPPI shows a decrease, indicating lower costs for materials.
Also watch forPPI shows an increase, indicating rising costs for materials.