Urban Edge Properties (UE)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$20.98-0.85%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UE
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $21 UE trades at 15× p/ffo, in line with its 12× p/ffo peer median, and our $20 fair value agrees. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $22–$25. Note: our $20 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($22–$25). Not investment advice.
$22.00 – $25.00 (median $24.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-07-09
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $24.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $2.17 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $12.74 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $17.98 | 12.5 | 1.44 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $27.26 | 7.3 | 3.76 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $9.80 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $35.86 | 52.0 | 0.69 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $8.11 | 12.5 | 0.65 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FFO | 3Y | $27.35 | 12.5 | 2.19 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $22.09 | 7.3 | 3.05 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $17.76 | 52.0 | 0.34 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FFO | 5Y | $36.17 | 12.5 | 2.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $19.20 | 7.3 | 2.65 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $11.11 | 52.0 | 0.21 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.