Ubiquiti Inc (UI)
NYSEInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$579.66-2.74%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 99.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 24.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 76.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
UI — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2025-12-05
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. Ubiquiti Inc. (the “Company”) deeply regrets to disclose that Ronald A. Sege, a member of the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”), passed away on November 30, 2025. Mr. Sege joined the Board in 2012 and served as a member of the Board’s audit and compensation committees and as chair of the Board’s nominating and corporate governance committee (the “Committees”) at the time of his passin…
Why it matters: The upcoming earnings report will provide insights into financial health and growth.
Watch forEarnings report on August 28 shows strong revenue and EPS growth.
Also watch forEarnings report on August 28 shows revenue and EPS decline.
Why it matters: Changes in R&D spending can affect future products and how competitive the company is.
Watch forR&D expenses go up a lot. This suggests a focus on new ideas and product development.
Also watch forR&D expenses go down or stay the same. This may mean cuts in innovation efforts.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is a key focus for Ubiquiti. A drop below this level signals trouble.
Worry ifQ3 revenue was less than $733 million. This shows growth is slowing.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue stays above $733 million, showing continued growth.
Why it matters: A higher dividend might show strong cash flow. It also shows management wants to return money to shareholders.
Supportive ifA quarterly dividend of more than $1.00 per share is announced for fiscal 2027.
Worry ifQuarterly dividend remains at $1.00 per share without increase.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$177 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $469 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,172 loss on $10,000 · 51.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Consistent EPS shows that Ubiquiti can manage costs well. This helps keep profits steady.
Supportive ifEPS remains at or above $3.86 in the next quarter, confirming strong earnings.
Worry ifEPS falls below $3.86. This may signal problems with making money.
Why it matters: Keeping revenue growth is important for Ubiquiti's long-term success. It shows demand for their products.
Supportive ifQ1 2027 revenues exceed $800 million, confirming strong demand and growth.
Worry ifQ1 2027 revenues are below $800 million. This may mean there are demand issues.
Why it matters: Guidance on EPS will show if Ubiquiti can maintain strong earnings growth. Investors focus on EPS as a key performance indicator.
Supportive ifManagement expects Q1 2027 EPS to be above $4.70. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifEPS guidance for Q1 2027 is below $4.70, suggesting potential earnings weakness.
Why it matters: R&D spending shows Ubiquiti's focus on new ideas. Big changes may affect growth later.
Watch forR&D expenses stay below $51.8 million in Q4.
Also watch forR&D expenses exceed $51.8 million in Q4.
Why it matters: This will show if Ubiquiti can maintain its revenue growth trend or if it is slowing down.
Worry ifQ4 revenue growth stays the same or goes up compared to last year. This shows strong performance.
Less concerning ifQ4 revenue growth goes down compared to last year. This may mean a slowdown.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show how well Ubiquiti is doing in the market.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue growth that is better than expected.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows revenue growth that is worse than expected.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below its median, it signals a slowdown in the sector's growth phase.
Worry ifRevenue growth reported below the median for the sector.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
Why it matters: Tariffs can affect costs and margins. Changes could signal broader financial impacts.
Worry ifGross margins get better even with tariff issues. This shows good cost control.
Less concerning ifGross margins decline due to rising tariff costs, signaling financial strain.
Why it matters: A drop below 20% would signal a potential slowdown in Ubiquiti's revenue growth. This could impact investor confidence.
Worry ifQ1 2027 revenue growth reported below 20% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ1 2027 revenue growth remains above 20% year over year.
Why it matters: Higher costs for parts could hurt profits. This would lower overall earnings.
Worry ifGross margin reported below 45% in Q1 2027.
Less concerning ifGross margin reported at or above 45% in Q1 2027.
Why it matters: The dividend shows Ubiquiti cares about giving money back to shareholders. This may help how investors feel.
Supportive ifDividend payment is made on September 8, 2026.
Worry ifThe dividend payment is cut or stopped.
Why it matters: News about the buyback program may show that management believes in the stock's worth. This could change how investors see it.
Supportive ifThe company announces it is starting stock buybacks.
Worry ifNo buybacks started or the program is extended without any action.