Ubiquiti Inc (UI)
NYSEInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
$514.20-8.34%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 57.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 26.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 12 industry peers
UI — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2025-12-05
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. Ubiquiti Inc. (the “Company”) deeply regrets to disclose that Ronald A. Sege, a member of the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”), passed away on November 30, 2025. Mr. Sege joined the Board in 2012 and served as a member of the Board’s audit and compensation committees and as chair of the Board’s nominating and corporate governance committee (the “Committees”) at the time of his passin…
Why it matters: Higher component and shipping costs cut margin in Q4. Another drop would show more pressure on profit per sale.
Worry ifQ1 FY2027 gross margin is below 45.8%, the Q4 FY2026 level.
Less concerning ifQ1 FY2027 gross margin is 45.8% or higher, with no new cost-driven decline.
Why it matters: Enterprise Technology drove recent revenue gains. A year-over-year slowdown would test the company’s main growth engine.
Watch forQ1 FY2027 Enterprise Technology revenue is above $585.7 million, its Q1 FY2026 level.
Also watch forQ1 FY2027 Enterprise Technology revenue is at or below $585.7 million.
Why it matters: The board extended the program through September 30, 2027. Filings can show whether the company uses the authorization.
Supportive ifA filing shows the program bought back shares before September 30, 2027.
Worry ifThe program ends on September 30, 2027. No filing reports repurchases under it.
Why it matters: Ubiquiti said it intends to pay at least $1.00 each quarter in fiscal 2027. The next board decision tests that plan.
Watch forThe board declares a dividend of at least $1.00 per share for the next fiscal 2027 quarter.
Also watch forThe board declares less than $1.00 per share or no dividend for the next fiscal 2027 quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$157 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $510 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,252 loss on $10,000 · 52.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.