Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. (ULH)
NASDAQIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-11-04
$32.72+2.25%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ULH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 21.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 19.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ULH — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-29
Regulation FD Disclosure. On October 29, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing that the Company’s board of directors declared a cash dividend of $0.105 per share of common stock. The dividend is payable on January 6, 2027 to shareholders of record on December 1, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K.
Why it matters: The board declared a $0.105-per-share dividend. Payment on the stated date would confirm this quarter's dividend plan was carried out.
Supportive ifULH pays $0.105 per share on January 6, 2027, to holders of record on December 1, 2026.
Worry ifULH changes or cancels the declared dividend, or does not pay it on January 6, 2027.
Why it matters: Q2 operating income included a $45.3 million gain from a property sale. Q3 operating income was $32.8 million. The next report gives a clearer test of ongoing results.
Watch forQ4 operating income is above $32.8 million, with no large gain from a property sale.
Also watch forQ4 operating income is below $32.8 million, or a large one-time gain is needed to lift the result.
Why it matters: Debt-net fell about $119.5 million from year-end to $678.1 million. Further cuts would support the stated plan to strengthen the balance sheet.
Supportive ifAt the next report, debt-net is below $678.1 million. The credit agreement leverage ratio stays below 1.98x.
Worry ifDebt-net tops $678.1 million, or the leverage ratio tops 1.98x.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$233 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $667 loss on $10,000 · 6.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,093 loss on $10,000 · 50.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.