Unusual Machines Inc /US (UMAC)
AMEXInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$13.03-10.88%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UMAC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -53.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers
UMAC — capital allocation — Unregistered
Dated 2026-10-23
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. The information set forth in
Why it matters: Management plans a Q3 pause while it builds systems for faster growth. It also expects gross margin to fall below Q2's 34.7%.
Watch forQ3 revenue is flat or lower than Q2's $16.7 million, and gross margin is below 34.7%.
Also watch forQ3 revenue grows from $16.7 million, or gross margin stays at or above 34.7%.
Why it matters: The order covers motors, batteries, cameras, and video parts. Shipped sales would test whether UMAC can turn a large order into revenue.
Supportive ifUMAC reports shipping the $16.9 million Powerus order or booking its revenue. It reports no cancellation or major delay.
Worry ifPowerus cancels or delays the order, or UMAC reports that little or none shipped by the next report.
Why it matters: UMAC plans a large motor capacity increase in Q4. Output and sales will show if the new line can meet customer demand.
Supportive ifUMAC reports higher motor output in Q4 and a revenue rebound from Q3. The motor line has no major delay.
Worry ifThe motor line is delayed, or Q4 revenue does not rebound from Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$401 on $10,000 · ±4.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,117 loss on $10,000 · 11.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,174 loss on $10,000 · 61.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.