Unusual Machines Inc /US (UMAC)
AMEXInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$23.76-3.06%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UMAC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
UMAC — legal / regulatory event — Changes in Registrant’s Certifying Accountant
Dated 2026-08-12
Changes in Registrant’s Certifying Accountant. (a) Dismissal of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm On August 12, 2026, the Audit Committee (the “Audit Committee”) of the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Unusual Machines, Inc. (the “Company”) approved the dismissal of Salberg & Company, P.A. (“Salberg”) as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm, effective immediately. The reports of Salberg on the Company’s financial statements for the years ended December 31…
Why it matters: Raising the breakeven revenue level shows growth and better financial health.
Supportive ifOperating revenue is higher than the breakeven point. This is good for future earnings.
Worry ifOperating revenue is lower than the breakeven point. This shows there are financial problems.
Why it matters: This program could create strong demand for Unusual Machines' products. It is an important market chance.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of Phase 2 finalists for the Drone Dominance program by the end of August 2026.
Worry ifNo news or bad updates about the Drone Dominance program.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow would show a big improvement in operations.
Supportive ifManagement says there will be positive cash flow from operations by the end of 2026.
Worry ifManagement says there will still be negative cash flow from operations by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Hitting this margin target is important for making money. It shows how well the company runs.
Supportive ifGross margin recovers to 40% as management targets by late 2026.
Worry ifGross margin remains below 40% by late 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$543 on $10,000 · ±5.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,110 loss on $10,000 · 11.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,263 loss on $10,000 · 52.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If revenue growth drops below its median, it signals a weakening sector. This could impact UMAC's performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its median value.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median value.
Why it matters: Completing this acquisition could boost growth and market position for Unusual Machines. It is a strategic move.
Supportive ifThe Upgrade Energy acquisition is complete. It has been announced.
Worry ifThe acquisition is postponed or called off.
Why it matters: This will show if the company can maintain its growth momentum or if demand is slowing.
Worry ifIf Q3 revenue growth is below 50% year-over-year, demand may be weakening.
Less concerning ifIf Q3 revenue growth is above 50% year-over-year, demand remains strong.
Why it matters: Closing this deal is key to expanding battery production and supporting growth.
Supportive ifThe acquisition will close by the end of Q3 2026. This will help battery operations.
Worry ifThe acquisition is delayed beyond Q3 2026, hindering growth plans.
Why it matters: A big drop in margins shows problems in managing costs during growth.
Worry ifIf gross margin drops below 30% in Q3, new operations may be causing pressure.
Less concerning ifIf gross margin stays above 30%, it shows good cost management.
Why it matters: Higher costs may show issues with running operations smoothly.
Worry ifIf operating costs exceed $15 million in Q3, there may be waste.
Less concerning ifIf operating costs are under $15 million, it shows good cost management.