United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM)
NASDAQMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$123.38+1.93%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · USLM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 42.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 23.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 19.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 17 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
USLM — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-30
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On October 30, 2026, United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a News Release announcing the financial results for the quarter and nine-months ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the News Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein in response to this
Why it matters: Q3 gross profit fell as diesel costs rose and the new kiln caused production problems. A recovery would show those pressures eased.
Supportive ifQ4 gross profit is above $52.2 million, the Q4 2025 level, and the company reports easing fuel or kiln costs.
Worry ifQ4 gross profit is below $52.2 million and the company reports continued pressure from fuel, transport, or kiln costs.
Why it matters: The kiln began making quicklime in Q3, but startup problems cut gross profit. Finishing the work may ease that drag.
Supportive ifThe Q4 update says final kiln start-up is complete. It reports no more start-up problems.
Worry ifThe Q4 update says commissioning is still pending or kiln start-up problems continue to weigh on costs.
Why it matters: The calendar lists earnings for Nov. 4, soon after the Q3 release. A clear update can show whether kiln work and demand risks changed.
Watch forA Nov. 4 company update confirms final kiln start-up or reports stronger construction demand.
Also watch forA Nov. 4 update says kiln commissioning remains open or construction demand has weakened further.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$119 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $347 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,006 loss on $10,000 · 30.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.