Unitil Corporation (UTL)
NYSEUtilitiesDiversified UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$53.710.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesDiversified UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UTL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -3.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
UTL — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-07
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. 1. Amendment No. 4 to Purchase and Sale Agreement. As previously reported, on May 6, 2025, Unitil Corporation, a New Hampshire corporation (“ Unitil ” or the “ Company ”), entered into a Purchase and Sale Agreement (as amended, the “ Purchase Agreement ”) by and between the Company and Aquarion Water Authority, a public corporation and political subdivision of the state of Connecticut (“ AWA ” or “ Seller ”), and, solely with respect to Section 9.25…
Why it matters: Updates will show how well Unitil is carrying out its growth plans.
Supportive ifManagement shares progress on the $1.2 billion investment plan and rate base growth.
Worry ifNo updates or a cut in the planned investment amount.
Why it matters: Good outcomes in rate cases can help revenue stability and future growth.
Supportive ifApproval of rate cases leads to better cost recovery and steady revenue.
Worry ifRejections or bad results in rate cases hurt cost recovery and revenue plans.
Why it matters: Acquisitions are key for growth. Successful deals can boost revenue and market presence.
Supportive ifA new acquisition could increase market share or services.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions in the next quarter may mean slow growth.
Why it matters: Higher operating income shows good cost control. This helps long-term growth.
Supportive ifOperating income was over $15 million for Q3 2026.
Worry ifIf operating income is below $15 million, it may show problems.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$69 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $206 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,168 loss on $10,000 · 11.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Growth in operating income helps Unitil's plan to make more money and control costs.
Supportive ifOperating income is up from last year. It is more than last quarter's $15.4 million.
Worry ifIf operating income goes down or stays the same, it shows possible problems.
Why it matters: Filing these cases is key to getting costs back and staying profitable after buying.
Supportive ifBase rate cases are filed in the first half of 2027 as planned.
Worry ifIf filing is late or stopped, it will hurt cost recovery and profits.
Why it matters: If Unitil integrates well, it can grow and manage new purchases better.
Supportive ifIntegration of Maine Natural Gas is completed by the expected date of May 1, 2026.
Worry ifIf there are delays or problems, the integration may take longer than expected.
Why it matters: Changes in rules may change how Unitil gets back costs and sets prices.
Worry ifRegulatory updates help recover costs quickly. They also lead to better rate changes.
Less concerning ifRegulatory changes can make it harder to recover costs. They may also create stricter price rules.
Why it matters: Steady dividend growth shows financial health. It also shows a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement announces another increase in the annual dividend per share. It will go beyond $1.90.
Worry ifManagement freezes or cuts the dividend. This may show financial trouble.
Why it matters: Customer growth shows demand for services and can affect future revenue.
Supportive ifCustomer growth is over 5%. This shows strong demand for natural gas services.
Worry ifCustomer growth is below 4%. This suggests weaker demand.
Why it matters: Good integration can show expected benefits. It may help long-term earnings growth.
Supportive ifManagement shares news of successful integration steps. They also report cost savings from the deal.
Worry ifReports say there are delays or problems with expected benefits from the merger.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how well the company is doing and its growth.
Watch forEarnings report shows adjusted EPS growth exceeding 10% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows adjusted EPS growth below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Finishing this deal shows Unitil wants to grow through smart choices.
Supportive ifAn official announcement will confirm the Aquarion deal is done.
Worry ifA delay or cancellation of the Aquarion deal will be announced.