Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Venu Holding Corp (VENU)
AMEXConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.34+7.20%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for VENU yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Successful execution of $250M ATM sales agreement | It has an ATM sales agreement for $250M to improve liquidity. | Under Pressure | Fails to raise meaningful capital from ATM agreement by end 2026-Q2 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 13, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk growth and expansion story, not an established durable compounder. The long-term thesis is on watch: revenue and reported program sales have grown, but operating losses widened and company momentum fell sharply.
The valuation is expensive versus peers, with a large expectations gap tied to future opportunity; model confidence is low. The evidence says valuation is the main source of fragility, rather than a combination of expensive valuation, weak results, and turbulent conditions.
Near term, results remain weak: second-quarter revenue was higher than first-quarter revenue, but operating losses also widened, and cash fell as the company funded construction. FireSuite and Aikman Club sales and revenue grew, but their contribution to revenue and profitability is not separately shown; financing execution and recent leadership and equity events add uncertainty.
Over the next few quarters, the thesis hinges on delivering venue and national expansion while improving the economics of that growth and securing construction funding with less reliance on equity. A guidance cut would be a meaningful negative; continued strength or weakness among sector bellwethers could also affect the sector backdrop.
For a 1-to-3-year view, VENU offers expansion potential, but the evidence does not yet show that growth is translating into stronger operating performance. Execution, funding, and guidance are the key tests. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| The company is restructuring operations with AEG Presents and pursuing strategic acquisitions. |
| Under Pressure |
| Restructuring progress stalls or reverses beyond 40% completion |
Restructuring stalled/reversing (President departed, leadership conflict) President departure and leadership conflict reported in Oct/Nov 2026, signaling stalled restructuring execution. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth to ~$34M by FY27 | A primary condition in Venu Holding Corp's published investment case. The stated target is >= $34 million. | Under Pressure | Revenue falls below $18.9 million in FY26 | Revenue: $4.795M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $34 million. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 13, 20264,795,461 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.37 → $-0.39 · observed estimates
$0.03B → $0.03B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.37 | $34,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.39 | $34,800,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 2 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.