VIAVI Solutions (VIAV)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
$29.38-2.23%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VIAV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 93.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 23.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 70.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VIAV — debt issuance
Dated 2026-05-21
Other Events. Underwriting Agreement On May 19, 2026, Viavi Solutions Inc. (the “ Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated (“Stifel”) and Needham & Company, LLC (“Needham & Company”), as representatives of the several underwriters named therein (collectively, the “Underwriters”), relating to the public offering, issuance and sale (the “ Offering”) of 11,111,111 shares of the Company’s common stock, par value…
Why it matters: Management guided to $450 million to $460 million. Revenue above the range would extend recent growth.
Supportive ifThe November 4 results report Q1 FY27 revenue above $460 million.
Worry ifThe November 4 results report Q1 FY27 revenue below $450 million.
Why it matters: This segment drove most of FY26 growth. A sharp slowdown would test management's growth story.
Worry ifThe next results show Network and Service Enablement revenue growth below 40% year over year, versus 52.3% in FY26.
Less concerning ifThe next results show Network and Service Enablement revenue growth at or above 52.3% year over year.
Why it matters: VIAVI said the acquired business could add about $180 million in its first 12 months. Results can show whether that mark is in reach.
Watch forVIAVI reports that the acquired business added about $180 million in its first 12 months. Or it shares data that backs this amount.
Also watch forVIAVI reports that the acquired business added much less than $180 million in its first 12 months. Or it cites delays in combining the products.
Why it matters: Management guided to $0.40 to $0.42 per share. A miss would weaken the recent profit trend.
Worry ifThe November 4 results report non-GAAP EPS below $0.40.
Less concerning ifThe November 4 results report non-GAAP EPS at or above $0.40.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$355 on $10,000 · ±3.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $844 loss on $10,000 · 8.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,976 loss on $10,000 · 49.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: VIAVI's FY26 revenue grew 40%. The tech sector trend is easing, so weaker company growth would matter.
Worry ifVIAVI reports revenue growth below 40% from a year earlier in a coming quarter.
Less concerning ifVIAVI reports year-over-year revenue growth at or above 40% in a coming quarter.