VISTA ENERGY SAB DE CV (VIST)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$73.73-1.18%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VIST
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -13.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 37 industry peers
Why it matters: Better performance could show that the market mood is changing and the sector is recovering.
Supportive ifVISTA's relative performance improves against peers like COP and CVX.
Worry ifVISTA is doing worse compared to its peers.
Why it matters: Better sector performance might mean a recovery. This could help Vista Energy.
Supportive ifSector performance improves to above 5% relative to peers over the next 60 days.
Worry ifIf sector performance drops below 0%, it is worse than peers.
Why it matters: GDP growth affects energy demand. Strong growth could boost Vista Energy's outlook.
Supportive ifGDP growth reported above 2% in the second estimate for Q2 2026.
Worry ifGDP growth reported below 1% in the second estimate for Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it may show a change in the energy sector's decline.
Supportive ifRevenue growth for Vista Energy turns positive year over year in the next quarter.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains negative year over year for another quarter.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$177 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $467 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,384 loss on $10,000 · 23.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Better performance in the sector could help VISTA. This may show a rise in energy demand.
Supportive ifThe energy sector is doing well compared to others in the next 60 days.
Worry ifThe energy sector is getting worse compared to others in the next 60 days.
Why it matters: A rise in revenue growth would signal a positive change in the energy sector's maturity phase.
Supportive ifRevenue growth increases above 2% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains at or below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would signal a change in the declining energy sector. It could show Vista Energy is improving its performance.
Supportive ifRevenue growth turns positive after being near 0 percent for three years.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains at or below 0 percent for another quarter.