Village Super Market, Inc. (VLGEA)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
$43.37-0.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VLGEA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -31.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 35.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers
VLGEA — litigation filed
Dated 2026-03-25
Other Events As previously disclosed, Village Super Market, Inc. (the "Company") is currently engaged in ongoing litigation with Wakefern Food Corp. ("Wakefern"). The matter is captioned Village Super Market, Inc., et al. v. Wakefern Food Corp., et al. and is pending before the Superior Court of New Jersey, Law Division, Middlesex County (the "Law Division"). In response to the Company's Second Amended Complaint and Jury Demand filed with the Law Division (the "Second Amended Complaint") seek…
Why it matters: The dividend payment reflects the company's cash flow and commitment to shareholders. It signals financial health.
Supportive ifThe company successfully pays the declared dividend of $0.25 per Class A share.
Worry ifThe company suspends or delays the dividend payment.
Why it matters: Revenue growth below 5% shows the company is struggling to grow. This reflects management's ongoing priority to increase revenue.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Why it matters: A drop below this level shows problems with managing profits.
Worry ifOperating income was below $8.4 million in Q3. This shows profits are getting worse.
Less concerning ifOperating income is over $8.4 million. This shows better cost control.
Why it matters: A change in operating income shows if management is making more money. This is important.
Supportive ifOperating income goes up from the current $8.4 million in 2026-Q3.
Worry ifOperating income keeps going down from $8.4 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$111 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $251 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,111 loss on $10,000 · 21.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This growth rate shows better sales. It matches management's goal to grow revenue.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 3% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is below 3% year over year.
Why it matters: A rise in operating income shows better cost management. It also means more profit.
Supportive ifOperating income is over $10 million in Q3.
Worry ifOperating income is under $10 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Changes in the dividend may show management's trust in cash flow and profit.
Supportive ifThere is an increase in the quarterly dividend above $0.25 per share.
Worry ifAnnouncement of a dividend cut or no change in the current dividend.
Why it matters: Progress in this lawsuit could affect financial stability. It may also change management focus.
Watch forManagement reports good news or a resolution in the lawsuit.
Also watch forNo news or bad updates in the lawsuit.