Vera Bradley Inc (VRA)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$7.53+7.57%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VRA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -55.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 55.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers
VRA — officer change
Dated 2026-07-24
The company established severance agreements for certain executives.
Why it matters: This range tests if management can steady sales. It will rebuild wholesale sales and limit liquidation sales.
Supportive ifFY2027 net sales finish at or above $255 million and at or below $270 million.
Worry ifFY2027 net sales finish below $255 million or above $270 million.
Why it matters: The sector data points to falling revenue, while VRA has posted recent sales growth. The next report can show whether that growth holds.
Watch forThe December 10 report shows consolidated revenue rose from a year ago. This extends the gains reported in FY2027 Q1 and Q2.
Also watch forThe December 10 report shows total revenue fell from a year ago.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin included $7.7 million in tariff refunds. The report said margin still improved without them, but only by over 0.4 points.
Watch forQ3 gross margin rises year over year, and the report names no tariff refund as a cause.
Also watch forQ3 gross margin falls year over year, or the report says a tariff refund drove the gain.
Why it matters: Management repeated this goal. Meeting it would show the cost and margin gains are helping the turnaround.
Supportive ifFY2027 non-GAAP operating loss improves at least 50% versus the prior-year loss of $21.7 million.
Worry ifFY2027 non-GAAP operating loss improves less than 50% versus the prior-year loss of $21.7 million.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$216 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $636 loss on $10,000 · 6.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,020 loss on $10,000 · 40.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.