Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$38.96-4.13%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VTOL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -17.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 26.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VTOL — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 3, 2026, Bristow Group Inc. (“Bristow Group”) issued a press release setting forth its third quarter 2026 financial results. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and hereby incorporated by reference. The information furnished pursuant to Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise…
Why it matters: Cash from operations moved from negative $8.3M in Q1 to positive $41.1M in Q2. Q3 shows if that gain lasts.
Watch forQ3 cash from operations is positive and free cash flow is above zero.
Also watch forQ3 cash from operations or free cash flow turns negative.
Why it matters: Bristow kept this full-year range after Q2 adjusted EBITDA rose to $79.8M. Q3 results test if that pace can continue.
Watch forQ3 results keep Bristow on pace for 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $295M–$325M.
Also watch forBristow cuts its 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook below $295M, or Q3 results put the range out of reach.
Why it matters: Management set a $1.01B–$1.08B revenue range for Offshore Energy Services. Q3 results test demand and rates.
Watch forQ3 results keep Offshore Energy Services on pace for 2026 revenue of $1.01B–$1.08B.
Also watch forBristow cuts the segment's 2026 revenue outlook below $1.01B, or Q3 results put the range out of reach.
Why it matters: Bristow says Berry adds government work and revenue diversity. Berry reported about $108M in 2025 revenue.
Supportive ifBristow reports Berry revenue above a $108M annual pace, with added earnings or cash flow.
Worry ifBristow reports Berry revenue below a $108M annual pace, or says Berry reduced earnings or cash flow.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$109 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $323 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,426 loss on $10,000 · 24.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.