V2X, Inc. (VVX)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
$74.01-4.47%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VVX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -26.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 4.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VVX — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-10
Chief Growth Officer — L. Roger Mason, Jr.: The Chief Growth Officer resigned to take a government position, with the CEO temporarily assuming duties until a successor is appointed.
Why it matters: V2X raised its 2026 revenue range twice. Q3 revenue above Q2's $1.26 billion would support that growth path.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue is above $1.26 billion, and V2X keeps its full-year revenue range at $4.875 billion to $5.025 billion or raises it.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue is below $1.26 billion, or V2X cuts its full-year revenue range below $4.875 billion.
Why it matters: V2X had $876.1 million of net debt and 2.4x leverage in Q2. Reaching its year-end target would show debt is falling.
Supportive ifV2X reports net leverage at or below 2.0x by year-end 2026.
Worry ifV2X reports net leverage above 2.0x at year-end 2026, or raises its year-end target above 2.0x.
Why it matters: Adjusted EPS rose to $0.81 in Q2, and V2X raised its full-year EPS range. A higher Q3 result would support that trend.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted diluted EPS is above $0.81, and V2X keeps its full-year range at $5.90 to $6.30 or raises it.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted diluted EPS is below $0.81, or V2X cuts its full-year range below $5.90.
Why it matters: The CEO is covering growth duties after the Chief Growth Officer left. A named successor would restore a clear owner for growth work.
Supportive ifV2X names a new Chief Growth Officer in a company release or filing.
Worry ifV2X reports no successor and the CEO still covers the role in its next earnings update.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$134 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $424 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,504 loss on $10,000 · 25.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.