WD-40 Company (WDFC)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
$227.33-2.43%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WDFC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 111.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 105.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WDFC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-21
and Item 9.01 (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: WD-40 Specialist grew faster than the larger Multi-Use line. Continued gains would show that new placements and online sales are still adding growth.
Supportive ifWD-40 Specialist sales grow from a year ago in the next reported quarter. The company cites new retail placement or online sales as drivers.
Worry ifWD-40 Specialist sales are flat or lower year over year in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Management called Q4 the likely low point and guided to 54.0%–55.5% gross margin for FY2027. A rise would support its recovery plan.
Supportive ifQ1 FY2027 gross margin is above 52.8%. Management cites improvement from the prior quarter.
Worry ifQ1 FY2027 gross margin is 52.8% or lower, or management reports continued pressure from input costs.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$113 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $301 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,855 loss on $10,000 · 28.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.