WD-40 Company (WDFC)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$207.57-1.37%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WDFC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 87.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 80.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers
WDFC — CFO transition
Dated 2026-09-03
CFO — Keith Stauffer: The filing announces the external hire of a new CFO with an orderly internal transition for the outgoing CFO, indicating a planned succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Hitting this income range shows strong performance and good cost control.
Supportive ifOperating income is reported between $107M and $113M for fiscal 2026.
Worry ifOperating income is below $107M for fiscal 2026.
Why it matters: Sales growth in this segment is crucial for overall revenue. It reflects market demand.
Supportive ifSales of maintenance products in the Americas will grow more than 10% in the next report.
Worry ifSales of maintenance products in the Americas will drop below 10% in the next report.
Why it matters: Staying within this range shows the company can maintain growth despite challenges.
Supportive ifRevenue guidance remains between $630M and $655M for Q3.
Worry ifRevenue guidance falls below $630M for Q3.
Why it matters: The share buyback shows that management is confident. Updates can show future spending plans.
Watch forManagement says the share buyback program will use the full $100 million.
Also watch forManagement says there are delays or cuts in the share buyback program.
Why it matters: Reaffirming guidance shows confidence in future sales. It helps investors gauge growth expectations.
Supportive ifManagement reaffirms revenue guidance in the next earnings call.
Worry ifManagement lowers revenue guidance below $630M in the next earnings call.
Why it matters: Earnings show how well a business is doing. Meeting or beating goals helps investors trust the company.
Supportive ifQ4 earnings per share exceeds $2.50.
Worry ifQ4 earnings per share falls below $2.00.
Why it matters: If revenue growth improves, it may signal a recovery in consumer spending. This could benefit WD-40 Company.
Supportive ifConsumer Staples sector revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth stays below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how WD-40 is performing amid sector headwinds. It can affect investor sentiment.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth above 5% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue decline or flat growth year over year.
Why it matters: The new CFO will influence financial strategy and reporting. This could impact investor confidence.
Watch forA press release announcing the appointment of a new CFO before July 2026.
Also watch forNo announcement of a new CFO by the next earnings call on July 9, 2026.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect company plans and results. Updates will show the future direction.
Watch forNew leaders start their jobs without problems.
Also watch forLeadership changes cause problems or bad effects on company results.
Why it matters: New leaders can change how the company works and performs.
Watch forGood performance numbers after the leadership change.
Also watch forBad performance numbers or issues after the leadership change.
Why it matters: If operating income is below this level, there may be cost or sales issues.
Worry ifOperating income in Q4 is less than $25 million.
Less concerning ifOperating income in Q4 is more than $25 million.
Why it matters: Growth in maintenance products is key to WD-40's long-term strategy. A strong Q4 would show continued momentum.
Supportive ifQ4 maintenance product sales increase year over year by more than 20%.
Worry ifMaintenance product sales growth falls below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Keeping a strong gross margin is key for making money. A good margin helps the company.
Supportive ifGross margin remains above 54.5% in Q4.
Worry ifGross margin drops below 54.5% in Q4.
Why it matters: Active share buybacks can show trust in the company's value and help the stock price.
Supportive ifWD-40 Company repurchases more than $20 million of shares by the end of Q4.
Worry ifThe company does not repurchase shares as planned.
Why it matters: The CFO change is important for financial stability. Smooth changes can make investors feel better.
Watch forKeith Stauffer is now the CFO. He is not causing issues with financial reporting.
Also watch forThe transition can cause delays or problems in financial reporting.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$96 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $305 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,181 loss on $10,000 · 21.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.