WEC Energy Group (WEC)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-05
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WEC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 25.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 20 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WEC — CFO transition
Dated 2026-08-11
Vice President and Controller — Caroline Garcia: The filing primarily announces the external hire of Caroline Garcia to succeed the retiring Controller, William J. Guc, in an orderly succession plan.
Why it matters: WEC raised its 2026 earnings range after nine-month earnings rose. The year-end result will test whether that gain lasts.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 diluted earnings per share are at least $5.60 and no more than $5.64.
Worry ifWEC cuts its 2026 earnings range below $5.60, or reports full-year earnings below $5.60 per share.
Why it matters: WEC's quarterly dividend rose to $0.9525 from $0.8925 a year ago. A further increase would extend that trend.
Supportive ifWEC announces a quarterly dividend above $0.9525 per share.
Worry ifWEC holds the quarterly dividend at $0.9525 or cuts it below that level.
Why it matters: WEC says its capital plan helps drive results. Rising costs or missed project work could weaken that link.
Watch forWEC reports capital spending that keeps it on pace with its $37.5 billion 2026–2030 plan, with no material project delays.
Also watch forWEC reports a material delay or cut to the plan, or spending falls below the pace needed to reach $37.5 billion by 2030.
Why it matters: The 20-year deal covers 86% of both units' output. Delays or changes could affect WEC's planned power supply.
Watch forThe Point Beach deal remains in force, and both units begin serving WEC under the PPA on October 6, 2030.
Also watch forWEC or the seller discloses that the PPA ended, changed its 86% share, or pushed back the October 6, 2030 start.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$85 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $161 loss on $10,000 · 1.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,520 loss on $10,000 · 15.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.