WEC Energy Group (WEC)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
$105.94-0.71%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WEC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 6.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 31 industry peers
WEC — CFO transition
Dated 2026-08-11
Vice President and Controller — Caroline Garcia: The filing primarily announces the external hire of Caroline Garcia to succeed the retiring Controller, William J. Guc, in an orderly succession plan.
Why it matters: Carrying out the capital plan is important for growth and efficiency.
Supportive ifManagement says they are making progress on the $37.5 billion capital plan.
Worry ifManagement says there are delays or cuts in spending.
Why it matters: Earnings guidance shows that management is sure about meeting financial goals. It also shows stable operations.
Supportive ifManagement reaffirms 2026 EPS guidance of $5.51 to $5.61 per share.
Worry ifManagement lowers or withdraws the EPS guidance for 2026.
Why it matters: Approval of rate increases helps revenue growth. It is important for future earnings.
Supportive ifThe Wisconsin Public Service Commission says yes to the rate increases.
Worry ifThe commission says no or cuts the rate increases.
Why it matters: If EPS guidance is confirmed, it will help management's outlook and boost investor trust.
Supportive ifQ3 EPS reported within the guidance range of $5.51 to $5.61.
Worry ifQ3 EPS falls below the guidance range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$91 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $163 loss on $10,000 · 1.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,122 loss on $10,000 · 11.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Growth in electricity sales shows steady demand. It also means the company can grow.
Supportive ifIf retail electricity sales grow more than 2.2% year over year, it shows strong demand.
Worry ifIf retail electricity sales grow less than 1.1% year over year, it shows weak demand.
Why it matters: Updates on these riders will affect financial results and regulatory risks. They matter for future earnings.
Watch forA positive decision on QIP and UEA riders would help earnings grow.
Also watch forA negative decision would hurt earnings and increase costs.
Why it matters: Natural gas delivery trends affect revenue. A drop may show problems with demand or competition.
Worry ifNatural gas deliveries decrease by more than 3% year over year.
Less concerning ifNatural gas deliveries rise or stay steady compared to last year.
Why it matters: An increase in dividends reflects strong financial health and commitment to shareholders. It can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifManagement announces a dividend increase for the 23rd year in a row.
Worry ifManagement does not increase dividends or cuts them.
Why it matters: A drop in electricity deliveries means less demand. This may hurt profits.
Worry ifQ3 retail electricity deliveries fall by more than 1.1% from last year.
Less concerning ifRetail electricity deliveries go up or stay the same from last year.
Why it matters: This tariff could bring in new customers and increase revenue. It shows the company's ability to adapt.
Supportive ifNew customers sign on to the Very Large Customer Tariff.
Worry ifNo new customers subscribe to the tariff within the next quarter.
Why it matters: An increase in dividends would show the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders. It reflects financial health.
Supportive ifA dividend increase above 6.7% would show strong use of capital.
Worry ifNo increase or a decrease in dividends may show possible financial problems.