The Wendy's Company (WEN)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$8.03+1.90%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WEN
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $8.03 WEN trades at 11× p/e, below its 17× p/e peer median. Our $12 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $5.50–$12. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $8.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $33.52 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $58.63 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $3.15 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
$5.50 – $12.00 (median $8.00) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-08-10
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
| $31.18 |
| 22.6 |
| 1.38 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $11.23 | 21.5 | 0.52 | ntm analyst | high |
| residual income | 12M | $3.20 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $6.63 | 9.5 | 0.70 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $12.12 | 16.9 | 0.72 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $37.71 | 22.6 | 1.67 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $7.34 | 21.5 | 0.34 | Analyst | low |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $3.51 | 9.5 | 0.37 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $42.80 | 22.6 | 1.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $4.80 | 21.5 | 0.22 | Analyst | low |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $2.29 | 9.5 | 0.24 | Analyst | low |