Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$34.09+8.02%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WGO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers
WGO — President transition
Dated 2026-11-05
Chief Legal Officer — Stacy L. Bogart: The filing announces the planned retirement of the Chief Legal Officer with a commitment to announce a successor, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: The sector data points to shrinking revenue, though recent signals hint at a change. A return to growth could ease pressure on demand for outdoor products.
Supportive ifThe sector's reported three-year revenue growth turns positive.
Worry ifThe sector's reported three-year revenue growth stays near 2% or falls further. The sector remains in a declining phase.
Why it matters: Net leverage fell to 2.2x in the fourth quarter from 3.0x in the third. Further progress would show the company can keep debt in check.
Supportive ifA later quarter reports net leverage below 2.2x.
Worry ifA later quarter reports net leverage above 3.0x.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$187 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $414 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,402 loss on $10,000 · 54.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.