Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
World Kinect Corporation (WKC)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Refining & MarketingSnapshot 2026-11-04
$36.64-3.58%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Refining & MarketingSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
2.56 → 2.68 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 2 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 2 to 2; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for WKC yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
4 published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Achieve EPS near $2.75 in 2026 | The company raised its EPS guidance to about $2.75 for 2026, showing confidence in earnings growth. | Intact | EPS guidance falls below $2.65 for FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a cyclical business with a recovery-and-execution thesis, not yet a durable earnings compounder. The long-term thesis remains on watch: management has made progress, but recent performance trails its industry cohort and the latest quarter missed expectations.
WKC is described as cheap versus peers, with a modest positive premium also noted in the valuation evidence. The expectations gap is slightly negative, and the priced-in assessment says the setup is justified with low fragility, rather than showing a broad stack of expensive valuation, weak fundamentals, and sector turbulence.
Over the past several quarters, gross profit and operating income improved, and full-year 2026 Adjusted EPS guidance was raised twice; Q3 Adjusted EPS was $0.99. Near term, the October earnings miss and sharp declines in company momentum and composite insight temper that progress, despite low estimated miss risk and stable management.
The multi-year thesis depends on WKC continuing to deliver profitable growth and meeting its raised 2026 guidance. Near term, another guidance reversal would damage credibility, while continued strong results and higher guidance from energy peers MPC, VLO, and PSX could support the sector backdrop; misses or lower guidance from those peers would weaken that support.
For the next one to three years, the operating trend and higher guidance are constructive, but the fresh miss and weak relative performance keep the thesis on watch. The key question is whether execution catches up with management’s stated outlook. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| Operational improvements boosted gross profit by $40.8 million year over year. |
| Intact |
| gross profit falls below $230 million |
Gross profit: $288.1M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: gross profit >= $270 million. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Oct 30, 2026288,100,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Net income improves to positive territory | World Kinect is improving profit with net income rising from a loss of $21.1 million in 2025-Q1 to a gain of $26.2 million in 2026-Q1. | Intact | net income falls below $0 in any quarter | Net income: $38M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: net income > $26 million. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Oct 30, 202638,000,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Operating income improves to positive levels | A supporting condition in World Kinect Corporation's published investment case. The stated target is operating income > $50 million. | Intact | operating income falls below $0 | Operating income: $80.1M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: operating income > $50 million. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Oct 30, 202680,100,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$2.48 → $2.68 · observed estimates
$43.04B → $48.47B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $2.48 | $43,036,636,358 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-25 | $2.48 | $43,036,754,190 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-26 | $2.48 | $43,036,754,190 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-27 | $2.48 | $43,036,754,190 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-28 | $2.48 | $43,036,754,190 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-29 | $2.48 | $43,036,636,358 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-30 | $2.56 | $43,415,077,980 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | $2.56 | $43,415,077,980 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-02 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-03 | $2.56 | $43,415,077,980 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-04 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-05 | $2.56 | $43,415,077,980 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-06 | $2.56 | $43,415,077,980 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $2.56 | $43,415,077,980 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-09 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-10 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-12 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-13 | $2.56 | $43,415,077,980 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-14 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-15 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-16 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-17 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-18 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-19 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-20 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-21 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-22 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-23 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-24 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-25 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-26 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-27 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-28 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-30 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-31 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-01 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-02 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-03 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-04 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-06 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-07 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-08 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-09 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-10 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-11 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-14 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-15 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-16 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-17 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-18 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-19 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-21 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-22 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-23 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-24 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-25 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-26 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-27 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-28 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-29 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-30 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-01 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-02 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-03 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-05 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-06 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-07 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-08 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-09 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-10 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-11 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-12 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-13 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-14 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-15 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-16 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-17 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-19 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-20 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-21 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-22 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-23 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-26 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-27 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-28 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-29 | $2.56 | $43,414,960,144 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | $2.48 | $43,856,077,977 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-31 | $2.48 | $43,856,077,977 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-01 | $2.48 | $43,856,077,977 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | $2.48 | $43,856,077,977 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-03 | $2.43 | $45,387,925,508 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | $2.68 | $48,472,362,965 | 2 / 2 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 2 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
4 of 4 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.