World Kinect Corporation (WKC)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Refining & MarketingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$35.40+0.88%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Refining & MarketingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WKC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -13.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers
WKC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-02-19
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 19, 2026, World Kinect Corporation issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. This information and the information contained in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or incorporated by reference in any filing u…
Why it matters: A gross profit above $400 million would show continued strong performance and growth momentum.
Supportive ifQ3 gross profit was over $400 million. This shows success in Aviation and Marine.
Worry ifQ3 gross profit falls below $365 million, suggesting a slowdown in growth.
Why it matters: Going above this number would confirm growth in the Aviation and Marine areas. These are key to the company's plan.
Supportive ifGross profit for Q3 exceeds $365 million.
Worry ifGross profit for Q3 falls below $365 million.
Why it matters: Growth in energy sector revenue would help WKC's performance and future outlook.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive after being near 0 percent.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains negative.
Why it matters: Keeping guidance above $3.20 per share shows trust in ongoing improvements.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS guidance stays above $3.20. This shows strong operational performance.
Worry ifIf guidance drops below $3.20, it may mean challenges in making money.
Why it matters: Market changes can affect profits in the Land segment. Watching this helps check the company's health.
Worry ifLand segment gross profit declines more than 10% in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifLand segment gross profit increases or declines less than 5% in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Higher operating income shows better cost control. It also means the company runs well.
Supportive ifOperating income for Q2 2026 shows a positive change from Q1 2026.
Worry ifOperating income for Q2 2026 shows a decline from Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Positive net income would show that management's changes are working. It shows the portfolio is improving.
Supportive ifNet income for Q3 is reported as positive.
Worry ifNet income for Q3 is reported as negative.
Why it matters: Updates on the Land segment will show how changes affect overall profit.
Watch forLand segment gross profit shows improvement from the previous quarter.
Also watch forLand segment gross profit declines further from the previous quarter.
Why it matters: Keeping this guidance shows strong performance and good market conditions. It shows management believes in growth.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS guidance remains in the range of $3.20 to $3.40 per share.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS guidance drops below $3.20 per share.
Why it matters: This would show that operations are efficient and costs are managed well. This is important for long-term growth.
Supportive ifOperating income for Q3 is over $96 million.
Worry ifOperating income for Q3 falls below $96 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$112 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $220 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,949 loss on $10,000 · 19.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.