Williams Companies (WMB)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas MidstreamSnapshot 2026-07-08
$75.08+3.10%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $75.08. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $75 the market pays 34× p/e — above the 24× p/e peer median but in line with its own 31× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $48 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with low confidence. Analysts target $82–$98. Note: our $48 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($82–$98). The flat-multiple read looks rich, but earnings are inflecting up — trailing growth is accelerating and forward estimates confirm — so we've softened our read rather than brand an accelerating name expensive. Not investment advice.
$82.00 – $98.00 (median $85.00) · 10 analysts · as of 2026-07-01
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Flags: expensive valuation, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 89% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 16.5 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.60/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $85.00 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| graham number | 12M | $24.91 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $23.32 | 8.5 | 5.55 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $10.30 | 17.5 | 0.59 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $54.34 | 24.4 | 2.23 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $15.79 | 1.6 | 9.73 | TTM | medium |
| PEG | 12M | $9.30 | 4.2 | 2.23 | TTM | medium |
| residual income | 12M | $17.73 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $68.65 | 30.8 | 2.23 | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $58.55 | 24.4 | 2.40 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $70.37 | 24.4 | 2.89 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $19.85 | 1.6 | 12.23 | Analyst | low |
| PEG | 3Y | $12.04 | 4.2 | 2.89 | Analyst | low |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $88.90 | 30.8 | 2.89 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $81.69 | 24.4 | 3.35 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $23.04 | 1.6 | 14.20 | Analyst | low |
| PEG | 5Y | $13.97 | 4.2 | 3.35 | Analyst | low |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $103.20 | 30.8 | 3.35 | Analyst | low |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.