WABASH NATIONAL CORPORATION (WNC)
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
$11.11-4.06%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WNC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 33.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 73.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WNC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 29, 2026, Wabash National Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The press release and a teleconference visual presentation are also available on the Company's Investor Relations website at ir.onewabash.com.
Why it matters: Wabash still reports losses, even as revenue and backlog rise. A larger Q4 loss would show that higher output has not fixed weak results.
Worry ifQ4 2026 adjusted loss per share is worse than $(0.75), below the low end of guidance.
Less concerning ifQ4 2026 adjusted loss per share is $(0.55) or better, at the high end of guidance or above it.
Why it matters: Q3 backlog rose 25% from Q2 and beat normal seasonal trends. More growth would support demand for dry vans.
Supportive ifReported backlog rises above $1,198 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifReported backlog falls below $956 million, its Q2 2026 level.
Why it matters: Wabash guided to $420 million to $450 million in Q4 revenue. Results above the midpoint would support its recovery story.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 revenue is above $435 million.
Worry ifQ4 2026 revenue is below $420 million, the low end of guidance.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$158 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $546 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,380 loss on $10,000 · 43.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.