WABASH NATIONAL CORPORATION (WNC)
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$14.31+0.35%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WNC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -42.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 32.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 75.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers
WNC — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-08-13
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information included in
Why it matters: Sales below this level mean revenue is still falling. This shows a weak market recovery.
Worry ifQ2 2026 net sales reported below $413 million.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 net sales exceed $421 million.
Why it matters: If they meet or exceed guidance, it shows strong market demand and good performance.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $450 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $440 million.
Why it matters: Management wants to lower costs. Success here could help them make more money.
Watch forNews about major facility closures or job cuts.
Also watch forNo news on cost cuts even with ongoing losses.
Why it matters: More backlog growth would show strong demand and a recovering market.
Supportive ifBacklog was reported at over $1.09 billion.
Worry ifBacklog was reported at less than $956 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$198 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $533 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,380 loss on $10,000 · 43.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Wabash National can improve its financial performance. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth is back above 5% from last year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth declining or remaining below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Better adjusted EPS would help management reach their goal of making more money.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EPS reported at $(0.50) or better.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EPS reported worse than $(0.60).
Why it matters: Lower idling costs show that operations are managed well.
Supportive ifFacility idling costs were less than $1.8 million.
Worry ifFacility idling costs were more than $2 million.