Expectations trend
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-05-31 · fmp
Worthington Enterprises (WOR)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Metal FabricationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$64.90+1.53%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Metal FabricationSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
4.22 → 4.22 EPS · FY ending May 31, 2028 · 2 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 2 to 2; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for WOR yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
4 published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion with $296 million EBITDA | Profit rises with $296 million EBITDA and lower costs. | Intact | adjusted EBITDA falls below $270 million next year | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-05-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
WOR is an industrial company with a mixed, execution-led long-term thesis rather than a clear growth or turnaround case. Management is delivering in some areas, but the thesis state is watch after company momentum weakened this month.
The valuation evidence is mixed: WOR is tagged as stretched, yet the model also identifies it as cheap versus peers. The expectations gap is 0.24, and fragility is low, so the evidence does not point to a highly fragile setup, but it gives limited detail on what the market specifically assumes.
Near term, reported revenue and operating income were higher in 2027-Q1 than in 2026-Q1, and data-center tank shipments show delivery on a named growth application. However, the signal shifted to mixed and momentum fell notably; a guidance cut would be a meaningful negative, while recent earnings-beat events offer some support.
Over the next several quarters, the thesis hinges on continued organic growth, operational improvement, and effective acquisition integration. Sector bellwethers’ earnings and guidance are also important: continued strength could support the industrial backdrop, while misses or lower guidance could remove that support.
For the 1-3 year view, WOR has evidence of operating progress and growth in a new application, but mixed momentum, sector headwinds, and guidance risk keep the thesis in watch mode. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in Worthington Enterprises's published investment case. The stated target is >= $16 million total, including $7 million modernization. |
| Intact |
| capital expenditures fall below $12 million next two quarters |
Capital expenditures: $12.754M FY2027-Q1; GAAP. Published target: >= $16 million total, including $7 million modernization. The stored target says 2026-Q3; this source reports FY2027-Q1. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Oct 9, 202612,753,999 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Return at least $27 million to shareholders via dividends and buybacks | The company returns $27 million to shareholders in dividends and buybacks. | Intact | capital return falls below $20 million next two quarters | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Organic revenue growth of at least 9% annually | A primary condition in Worthington Enterprises's published investment case. The stated target is >=9% YoY. | Intact | organic revenue growth falls below 7% YoY next year | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$4.13 → $4.22 · observed estimates
$1.52B → $1.57B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-25 | $4.13 | $1,524,900,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-26 | $4.13 | $1,524,900,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | $4.13 | $1,524,900,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-29 | $4.13 | $1,524,900,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $4.13 | $1,524,900,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-04 | $4.13 | $1,524,900,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | $4.13 | $1,524,900,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-09 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-10 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-12 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-13 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-14 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-17 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-18 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-19 | $4.13 | $1,524,908,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-20 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-25 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-26 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-27 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-11 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-15 | $4.13 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | $4.08 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | $4.08 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | $4.08 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | $4.08 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | $4.08 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-21 | $4.08 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-22 | $4.08 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-23 | $4.08 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-24 | $4.08 | $1,525,008,763 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-25 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-26 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-28 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-29 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-30 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-01 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-02 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-03 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-04 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-05 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-06 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-08 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-09 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-10 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-11 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-12 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-13 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-14 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-15 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-16 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-17 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-19 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-20 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-21 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-22 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-23 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-24 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-27 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-29 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-30 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-31 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-01 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-02 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-03 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-04 | $4.22 | $1,570,688,750 | 2 / 3 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 3 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 1 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Dec 15, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earnings4 of 4 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.