Essential Utilities (WTRG)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-11-05
$46.05+2.04%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WTRG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 19.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WTRG — restructuring
Dated 2026-11-05
Other Events. Filing of Stipulation of Settlement in New Jersey Board of Public Utilities (the “NJBPU”) Proceeding with respect to Proposed Merger with Essential Utilities, Inc. As previously disclosed, on October 26, 2025, American Water Works Company, Inc. (“American Water” or the “Company”), Alpha Merger Sub, Inc., a direct wholly owned subsidiary of the Company (“Merger Sub”), and Essential Utilities, Inc. (“Essential Utilities”), entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “Merger…
Why it matters: The next report can test the spending plan and merger schedule. Check for updates against the goals management kept in August.
Watch forThe report keeps the $1.7 billion 2026 spending target and Q1 2027 merger close, with no lower EPS growth goal.
Also watch forThe report cuts the spending or EPS growth goal, or moves the merger close past Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Signed deals cover over 200,000 customers, but DELCORA is not in current guidance. Closings would add customers and systems.
Supportive ifCompany filings confirm that DELCORA and other signed deals have closed. They state customer counts.
Worry ifA signed deal ends, or DELCORA stays unclosed and leaves the acquisition plan.
Why it matters: The company kept its 5% to 7% EPS growth goal through 2027. Results below that path would raise doubt about the goal.
Worry ifReported adjusted EPS keeps the company on pace for 5% to 7% yearly growth from 2024 through 2027.
Less concerning ifReported adjusted EPS puts growth below 5% from the 2024 base, or the company cuts its 5% to 7% goal.
Why it matters: The merger is a top management goal, with a Q1 2027 close still in view. A delay or failed approval would break that timeline.
Watch forA company filing confirms the merger closed by March 31, 2027.
Also watch forA company filing reports a delay past March 31, 2027, a failed approval, or a deal that ended.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$82 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $197 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,297 loss on $10,000 · 13.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.