Xometry, Inc. (XMTR)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$113.52+2.00%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · XMTR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 43.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 26.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
XMTR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-03
and in the accompanying Exhibit 99.1 is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, except as otherwise expressly stated in such filing.
Why it matters: Marketplace gross margin was 34.7% in both Q1 and Q2. A drop could show that fast sales growth is coming with weaker margins.
Worry ifQ3 marketplace gross margin is below 34.7%.
Less concerning ifQ3 marketplace gross margin stays at or above 34.7%.
Why it matters: Management raised its full-year growth outlook after Q2. Beating the new range would show that marketplace growth remains strong.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 revenue growth is reported above 34%, with marketplace growth near or above the guided 37%.
Worry ifFull-year revenue growth falls below 33% or marketplace growth falls well short of 37%.
Why it matters: Management set Q3 revenue guidance at $234 million to $236 million. A result above that range would extend strong growth.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue is reported above $236 million, with marketplace growth near or above the guided 33%.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue is below $234 million or marketplace growth is well below 33%.
Why it matters: Xometry plans to place its manufacturing tools inside Siemens Xcelerator. More buyers or large accounts would show the deal is gaining use.
Supportive ifXometry says the Siemens Xcelerator link is live. It names new buyers, orders, or marketplace revenue from the link.
Worry ifThe link is not live, or Xometry reports no new buyers or orders from the deal.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$217 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $811 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,993 loss on $10,000 · 49.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.