Xos Inc (XOS)
NASDAQIndustrialsAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.68-4.29%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · XOS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 19.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 37.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers
XOS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 13, 2026, Xos, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial position as of June 30, 2026, results of operations for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026 and other related information. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information included in
Why it matters: Q2 margin fell to 12.1% from 38.6% in Q1. Staying above the Q2 level would show that margin gains are holding.
Supportive ifQ3 GAAP gross margin is above 12.1%, with positive gross profit.
Worry ifQ3 GAAP gross margin is 12.1% or lower, or gross profit turns negative.
Why it matters: Xos cut its 2026 revenue range to $35 million–$43 million. Q3 revenue near $9.5 million keeps the company on pace for the low end.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is at least $9.5 million, and management keeps its 2026 revenue range at $35 million–$43 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $9.5 million, or management cuts the 2026 revenue range again.
Why it matters: Xos launched a 3.1 MWh Power Hub and said partner announcements were coming. Named partners would show a path to paid deployments.
Supportive ifXos names a rental or leasing partner and reports a Power Hub launch or customer contract.
Worry ifNo partner or paid deployment is named by the next earnings report, or Xos says the launch is delayed.
Why it matters: Xos ended Q2 with $13.2 million in cash and still had operating losses. A cash drop would raise pressure to seek more funding.
Worry ifAt the next report, cash is below $13.2 million and the company reports further share sales or new financing.
Less concerning ifCash is at least $13.2 million, with no new share sale or financing reported.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$225 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $829 loss on $10,000 · 8.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,386 loss on $10,000 · 73.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.