Xperi, Inc. (XPER)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$5.71+6.53%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · XPER
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -67.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 72.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 60 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
XPER — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2026, Xperi Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release announcing these financial results and other information regarding its financial condition is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act o…
Why it matters: Advertising and related revenue rose 54% in Q2. Another strong quarter would show that user growth is turning into more ad revenue.
Supportive ifQ3 ad and related revenue grows at least 40% year over year. TiVo One users rise from 6.3 million.
Worry ifQ3 ad and related revenue grows less than 20% year over year, or TiVo One users fall below 6.3 million.
Why it matters: The full-year target starts at $15 million. Q1 cash flow was negative $18.0 million, and Q2 was positive $14.6 million.
Supportive ifThe company reports at least $15 million in operating cash flow for full-year 2026.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 operating cash flow is below $15 million.
Why it matters: Xperi kept its 2026 revenue range. Q1 and Q2 revenue were $114.2 million and $114.5 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $110 million, putting the company further behind the pace needed for its $440 million low end.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue is at least $110 million and management keeps the $440 million–$470 million 2026 range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$130 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $400 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,236 loss on $10,000 · 42.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.