Xperi, Inc. (XPER)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.79-0.69%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · XPER
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -66.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 71.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
XPER — restructuring
Dated 2025-11-05
Costs Associated With Exit or Disposal Activities. On November 1, 2025, the Company approved a restructuring plan (the “Restructuring Plan”) that will result in a reduction of approximately 250 employees globally and impacts all business and functional areas. The Restructuring Plan is expected to be substantially completed by the end of the first half of 2026. The Company expects to incur approximately $16.0 million to $18.0 million of restructuring and related charges, substantially all of w…
Why it matters: News on spending shows how the company is investing for growth. This affects future revenue.
Watch forCapex for Q2 is reported within the $15M to $20M range.
Also watch forCapex below $15M shows the company plans to invest less.
Why it matters: Hitting the 7 million user target would show strong growth in user engagement. This growth is key to boosting advertising revenue.
Supportive ifTiVo One Monthly Active Users reach or exceed 7 million by year-end 2026.
Worry ifTiVo One Monthly Active Users stay below 6.3 million by year-end 2026.
Why it matters: Reaching this capex target shows commitment to growth investments. It reflects management's response to market demands.
Supportive ifCapital spending is around $25 million for 2026.
Worry ifCapital spending drops below $20 million for 2026.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow is critical for Xperi to meet its 2026 cash flow guidance. It shows the company's financial health.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow turns positive, reaching at least $5M in Q2.
Worry ifOperating cash flow remains negative in Q2.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$176 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $411 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,299 loss on $10,000 · 33.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Strong advertising revenue growth shows good money-making strategies. This could raise overall revenue.
Supportive ifAdvertising revenue grew over 50% from last year in Q3.
Worry ifAdvertising revenue growth dropped below 40% from last year in Q3.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if the company can improve its loss-making status. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Watch forThe earnings report shows fewer losses or a return to making money.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows continued losses. There is no improvement in finances.
Why it matters: Keeping this revenue guidance shows the business is stable. This is important for investor trust.
Watch forQuarterly revenue remains within the guidance range of $440M to $470M.
Also watch forQuarterly revenue is below $440M. This may show problems with growth.
Why it matters: Achieving this cash flow target would indicate improved financial health. It is important for funding future growth.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow reports between $15M and $25M for 2026.
Worry ifOperating cash flow remains below $15M for 2026.
Why it matters: Changes in the sector can impact Xperi's performance. A slowdown could affect revenue.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: Any shift in management's strategy could impact Xperi's ability to address its loss-making status. This is key for future growth.
Watch forManagement shares a new plan to make more money.
Also watch forManagement sticks with the current plan without changes.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide insights into revenue, cash flow, and overall performance. It is a key event for investors.
Watch forEarnings results show revenue growth and positive cash flow.
Also watch forEarnings results show falling revenue or worse cash flow.
Why it matters: Xperi needs Media Platform revenue to make money. Strong results help their yearly revenue goals.
Supportive ifIn Q2, Media Platform revenue grew over 40% compared to last year.
Worry ifQ2 Media Platform revenue growth falls below 30% year-over-year.
Why it matters: High growth in advertising revenue shows strong demand. It also shows the platform works well.
Supportive ifAdvertising revenue is growing by more than 50% each year in the next quarters.
Worry ifAdvertising revenue is growing by less than 40% each year in the next quarters.