Yeti Holdings (YETI)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · YETI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 5.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 15.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 9.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
YETI — CFO transition
Dated 2026-02-19
Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer — Scott Bomar: Mr. Bomar was hired as the new CFO, and Mr. McMullen is departing with a transition period.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is a top priority for Yeti. Strong growth signals better performance.
Supportive ifQ1 revenue growth exceeds 4% year over year.
Worry ifQ1 revenue growth is below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth drops, it may signal broader challenges. This could affect Yeti's performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: This event will provide updates on YETI's business and long-term strategy. Insights on growth plans may affect investor confidence.
Supportive ifManagement has a clear plan for growth. They are positive about the future.
Worry ifManagement does not share a strong growth plan. They lower their outlook.
Why it matters: Updates from Investor Day can show growth plans and financial outlook. This can affect how investors feel.
Watch forGood news or guidance during Investor Day.
Also watch forNo new plans or bad outlook during Investor Day.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$180 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $356 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,008 loss on $10,000 · 30.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow from operations shows better financial health. It also means better efficiency.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations reported positive in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Strong international sales growth supports YETI's strategy to expand globally. It shows demand is strong outside the U.S.
Supportive ifQ3 international sales growth exceeds 15% year over year.
Worry ifInternational sales growth falls below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: More share buybacks show strong cash flow and management's trust in the company.
Supportive ifShare buybacks were over $130 million in Q3.
Worry ifShare buybacks were below $130 million in Q3.
Why it matters: More share buybacks show faith in cash flow. It also shows a promise to give value to shareholders.
Supportive ifShare buybacks go over $100 million by the end of 2026.
Worry ifShare repurchases total less than $50 million by year-end 2026.
Why it matters: This will confirm management's guidance and the strength of demand across channels.
Supportive ifQ3 sales growth meets or exceeds the 7% to 8% range set by management.
Worry ifQ3 sales growth falls below 7%, indicating weaker demand.
Why it matters: This shows good cost control and makes more money.
Supportive ifOperating income margin stays above 14.9% for Q3.
Worry ifOperating income margin is below 14.9%. This shows there are cost problems.
Why it matters: This shows the company can make cash and support shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement confirms free cash flow guidance of $200M to $225M for 2026.
Worry ifFree cash flow guidance is lower, showing possible cash problems.