York Space Systems, Inc. (YSS)

NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04

$6.090.00%

Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change

York Space Systems, Inc. (YSS) Outlook: What's Priced In | QuarterlyIQ

Investment OutlookAs of Nov 4, 2026

What could strengthen or challenge York Space Systems, Inc.’s outlook?

The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.

Higher potential upsideImproving expectations

Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days

Comparable estimates unavailable

+10% or more+5%0%−5%−10% or less

Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.

Higher risk of downsideWeakening expectations

One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.

How this is measured

The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.

Price, analyst earnings & P/E reference

The EPS and P/E reference is not available for YSS yet.

Measure / period	Management expectations	Analyst expectations

Management figures unavailable.

Current consensus figures unavailable.

What the Thesis Depends On

Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.

Key Factor	Why It Matters	Current Status	Break Condition	Latest Evidence
Move toward positive EPS by FY27	A supporting condition in York Space Systems, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is EPS >= 0 by FY27.	Broken	EPS remains negative or declines further in FY27	Diluted EPS: $-0.31 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: EPS >= 0 by FY27. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 13, 2026-0.31 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.

Incoming Evidence

Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above

Expectations trend

Same fiscal period

FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp

FY2027 EPS$-0.58

Outlook in Brief

The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next

What's improving

No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.

Still unresolved / key risks

Move toward positive EPS by FY27Published status: Broken
Revenue reaches at least $545 million in 2026Published status: Broken
Complete and integrate Solestial and All.Space acquisitionsQualitative condition

Next proof point

Nov 12, 2026

Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.

Historical risk context

Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios

Price sensitivity

3.3%Typical daily move · historical

Downside history

-87.2%Maximum drawdown · trailing year

Read detailed Outlook Company context, assumptions & risks

York Space Systems, Inc. outlook in detail

The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.

Updated Oct 31, 2026

What kind of bet this is

This is a speculative growth story, supported by acquisitions, government contracts, and efforts to expand satellite production capacity. Its current long-term thesis is insufficiently established because recent financial history is too limited to judge the trend with confidence.

What's priced into York Space Systems, Inc.

The evidence does not provide a valuation level or specific market expectations, so whether YSS is cheap, fair, or expensive versus peers is unclear. No fragility signals were flagged, but that does not establish what expectations are already reflected in the valuation.

What the fundamentals likely do

Over the multi-year view, a growing government backlog and acquisitions could expand capabilities, while inventory and production investments aim to support faster deployment. Near term, risk is elevated: YSS has missed earnings in recent quarters, guidance was lowered as of August 13, 2026, and a next-quarter miss is a key concern.

What York Space Systems, Inc. hinges on

A guidance increase next quarter would be evidence of a meaningful recovery from the recent reduction. The sector backdrop is a headwind, so results and guidance from industrial bellwethers could also affect the environment for YSS.

Bottom line

The 1-to-3-year view depends on YSS converting contract growth, acquisitions, and production expansion into steadier results; execution and near-term earnings risk remain unresolved. Not investment advice.

Development preview · refreshed Nov 5, 2026Open Living FV detail

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.

Exact estimates & source dates

One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.

FY2027 estimate observations · fmp
Snapshot	EPS	Revenue	EPS / revenue analysts
2026-07-24	$0.52	$861,365,700	3 / 7
2026-07-25	$0.52	$861,365,700	3 / 7
2026-07-26	$0.52	$861,365,700	3 / 7
2026-07-27	$0.52	$861,365,695	3 / 7
2026-07-28	$0.52	$861,365,695	3 / 7
2026-07-29	$0.52	$861,365,695	3 / 7
2026-07-30	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-07-31	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-01	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-02	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-03	$0.53	$849,926,430	3 / 10
2026-08-04	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-05	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-06	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-08	$0.53	$849,926,430	3 / 10
2026-08-09	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-10	$0.53	$849,926,430	3 / 10
2026-08-12	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-13	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-14	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-15	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-16	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-17	$0.52	$849,965,695	3 / 7
2026-08-18	$0.52	$849,965,695	2 / 7
2026-08-19	$0.52	$849,965,695	2 / 7
2026-08-20	$0.08	$636,715,700	2 / 6
2026-08-21	$-0.10	$600,268,700	3 / 7
2026-08-22	$-0.10	$600,268,700	3 / 7
2026-08-23	$-0.10	$600,268,700	3 / 7
2026-08-24	$-0.10	$600,268,700	3 / 7
2026-08-25	$-0.22	$574,148,400	3 / 7
2026-08-26	$-0.22	$574,148,400	3 / 7
2026-08-27	$-0.22	$574,148,400	3 / 7
2026-08-28	$-0.22	$574,148,400	3 / 7
2026-08-29	$-0.43	$527,911,227	4 / 8
2026-08-30	$-0.43	$527,911,227	4 / 8
2026-08-31	$-0.43	$527,911,227	4 / 8
2026-09-01	$-0.43	$527,911,227	4 / 8
2026-09-02	$-0.43	$527,911,227	4 / 8
2026-09-03	$-0.42	$527,911,227	4 / 8
2026-09-04	$-0.42	$527,911,227	4 / 8
2026-09-05	$-0.42	$527,911,227	4 / 8
2026-09-06	$-0.42	$527,913,773	4 / 8
2026-09-07	$-0.42	$527,913,773	4 / 8
2026-09-08	$-0.42	$527,913,773	4 / 8
2026-09-09	$-0.42	$527,913,773	4 / 8
2026-09-10	$-0.42	$527,913,773	4 / 8
2026-09-11	$-0.55	$495,058,977	4 / 8
2026-09-12	$-0.55	$495,058,977	4 / 8
2026-09-13	$-0.55	$495,058,977	4 / 8
2026-09-14	$-0.55	$495,058,977	4 / 8
2026-09-15	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-16	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-17	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-18	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-19	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-20	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-21	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-22	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-23	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-24	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-25	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-26	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-27	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-28	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-29	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-09-30	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-10-01	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-10-02	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-10-03	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-10-04	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-10-05	$-0.53	$498,754,062	4 / 8
2026-10-06	$-0.53	$498,755,729	4 / 8
2026-10-07	$-0.53	$498,755,729	4 / 8
2026-10-08	$-0.53	$498,755,729	4 / 8
2026-10-09	$-0.55	$498,755,729	4 / 8
2026-10-10	$-0.55	$498,755,729	4 / 8
2026-10-11	$-0.55	$498,755,729	5 / 8
2026-10-12	$-0.55	$498,755,729	5 / 8
2026-10-13	$-0.55	$498,755,729	5 / 8
2026-10-14	$-0.55	$498,755,729	5 / 8
2026-10-15	$-0.55	$498,755,729	5 / 8
2026-10-16	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-17	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-18	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-19	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-20	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-21	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-22	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-23	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-24	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-25	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-26	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-27	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-28	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-29	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-30	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-10-31	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-11-01	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-11-02	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-11-03	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9
2026-11-04	$-0.58	$495,712,980	5 / 9

Analyst view

Monthly observations

Buy / Strong BuyHoldSell / Strong Sell

Exact monthly counts

Monthly rating snapshots · fmp. Missing snapshots are not zero.
Date	Buy*	Hold
2026-06-01	7	2
2026-07-01	8	3
2026-08-01	7	6
2026-09-01	5	7
2026-10-01	5	9
2026-11-01	5	9

*Buy includes Strong Buy; Sell includes Strong Sell. Monthly counts describe the analyst mix, not the firms behind each recent action.

Latest: 5 Buy / Strong Buy · 9 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell

0 upgrades0 downgrades1 maintains

Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded

What could strengthen or challenge York Space Systems, Inc.’s outlook?

Price, analyst earnings & P/E reference

What the Thesis Depends On

Incoming Evidence

Expectations trend

Outlook in Brief

What's improving

Still unresolved / key risks

Next proof point

Historical risk context

York Space Systems, Inc. outlook in detail

What kind of bet this is

What's priced into York Space Systems, Inc.

What the fundamentals likely do

What York Space Systems, Inc. hinges on

Bottom line

Analyst view

Price-target changes

Bottom line