Reading AAP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AAP free→Reading AAP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AAP free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · AAP
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $60.80. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $43.39 | 15.8 | 2.75 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $55.90 | 10.7 | 5.95 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $51.12 | 15.8 | 3.24 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $128.35 | 0.9 | 139.53 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $75.52 |
| 23.3 |
| 3.24 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $59.35 | 18.3 | 3.24 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $53.11 | 15.8 | 3.37 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $65.51 | 15.8 | 4.15 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 3Y | $18.55 | 10.7 | 2.45 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $77.18 | 15.8 | 4.89 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $140.99 | 0.9 | 153.27 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $114.03 | 23.3 | 4.89 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $89.61 | 18.3 | 4.89 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $86.22 | 15.8 | 5.46 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 5Y | $6.86 | 10.7 | 1.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $101.59 | 15.8 | 6.44 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $150.09 | 0.9 | 163.17 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $150.07 | 23.3 | 6.44 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $117.95 | 18.3 | 6.44 | Analyst | medium |