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AAPL

Apple Inc

NASDAQInformation TechnologyConsumer ElectronicsSnapshot 2026-05-08

$293.32+2.05%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, AAPL has a composite score of 19.1 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 79.3 and a moderate risk label. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, inflation, and labor, with the most recent fundamental data dated May 1, 2026. The analysis is provisional.

Composite +19as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.11
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
28202324275085235885
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$293.32
TTM EPS
$8.07
Earnings yield
2.8%
P/E (TTM)
36.3

Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2

F3 · Earnings quality
fragile
Bottom 30% cash conversion in information technology cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
122,575
TTM CFO ($M)
140,222
CFO/NI
1.14
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
volatile
Bottom 30% activity in information technology cohort· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish strongEPS revised +9.0% / 30d, n=30for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.73 → $1.89 (+9.0% / 30d). 22 raised, 0 cut, 30 covering analysts.

Rating actions

1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 13 maintained. 65% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

8 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 12.5% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.CEO transition to John Ternustalentwatchprovisional
    4/20: Apple announced that Tim Cook will transition from his role as CEO to Executive Chair, with John Ternus appointed as CEO.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q2. The CEO transition plan is set to take effect on September 1, 2026, with John Ternus taking over from Tim Cook. This strategic leadership change is expected to influence Apple's future direction, though no immediate financial impact is evident in the current financials.

  2. 2.Appoint new General Counseltalentwatchprovisional
    12/5: Jennifer Newstead will become Apple's general counsel on March 1, 2026, following a transition of duties from Kate Adams.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. The transition of the General Counsel role to Jennifer Newstead is planned for March 1, 2026. This change is part of Apple's ongoing leadership adjustments, with no immediate financial impact noted in the current period.

  3. 3.Appoint new Principal Accounting Officertalentwatchprovisional
    1/2: Ben Borders appointed as Apple's Principal Accounting Officer, effective January 1, 2026.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The appointment of Ben Borders as Principal Accounting Officer took effect on January 1, 2026. This transition is part of Apple's leadership restructuring, with no direct financial impact observed in the current financials.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −14%, typical day ±0.8%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 25%; 252d 23%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −14%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLK) 0.06 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 61/100, drawdown 72/100, beta 6/100, earnings vol .

Calm + bullish setup — clean pre-earnings positioning pattern.

Sector regime
tailwind+15.9%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLK

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite83.7 / 100
Capital allocation87
Earnings discipline91
Margin discipline77
Balance sheet89
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction46

Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 0.0% avg surprise

as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    CEO transition to John Ternus

    TalentNew since 2026-05-04

    Transition of CEO role from Tim Cook to John Ternus, effective September 1, 2026.

    Watch

    Newly stated in 2026-Q2. The CEO transition plan is set to take effect on September 1, 2026, with John Ternus taking over from Tim Cook. This strategic leadership change is expected to influence Apple's future direction, though no immediate financial impact is evident in the current financials.

    No score
    CEO/CFO:Apple announced that Tim Cook will transition from his role as CEO to Executive Chair, with John Ternus appointed as CEO.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-20Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisional
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q2Multiple sources

      Tim Cook will transition from his role as CEO to Executive Chair, effective September 1, 2026.

  • #2

    Appoint new General Counsel

    TalentNew since 2026-05-04

    Transition of General Counsel role to Jennifer Newstead, effective March 1, 2026.

    Watch

    Newly stated in 2025-Q4. The transition of the General Counsel role to Jennifer Newstead is planned for March 1, 2026. This change is part of Apple's ongoing leadership adjustments, with no immediate financial impact noted in the current period.

    No score
    CEO/CFO:Jennifer Newstead will become Apple's general counsel on March 1, 2026, following a transition of duties from Kate Adams.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2025-12-05Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisional
    Show history (1)
    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      Jennifer Newstead will become Apple's general counsel on March 1, 2026.

  • #3

    Appoint new Principal Accounting Officer

    TalentNew since 2026-05-04

    Transition of Principal Accounting Officer role to Ben Borders, effective January 1, 2026.

    Watch

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The appointment of Ben Borders as Principal Accounting Officer took effect on January 1, 2026. This transition is part of Apple's leadership restructuring, with no direct financial impact observed in the current financials.

    No score
    CEO/CFO:Ben Borders appointed as Apple's Principal Accounting Officer, effective January 1, 2026.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-01-02Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisional
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      Ben Borders appointed as Apple's Principal Accounting Officer, effective January 1, 2026.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
44higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
23higher = cheaper

Richer than its own typical valuation.

P/E
34.8x
EV/EBITDA
27.3x
FCF yield
3.0%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fullas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
AAPL
Apple Inc
+19fullmoderate
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
+20fullmoderate
MSFT
Microsoft
+27fairelevated
AVGO
Broadcom
+11expensiveelevated
MU
Micron Technology
+23fullelevated
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
0.8%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.0%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-13.8%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2025-10-30)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2025-10-30)-8.0 pts
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
  • If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-309d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 30, 2026, Apple Inc. (“Apple”) issued a press release regarding Apple’s financial results for its second fiscal quarter ended March 28, 2026. A copy of Apple’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information contained in this Current Report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the S…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 54
  2. 2026-04-2018d agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers . On April 20, 2026, Apple Inc. (“Apple”) announced that Tim Cook will transition from his role as Chief Executive Officer to Executive Chair of Apple’s Board of Directors (the “Board”), effective September 1, 2026 (the “Transition Date”). On April 17, 2026, the Board appointed John Ternus, Apple’s Senior Vice President of Hardware Engineering, as C…

    executive changeneutralscore 53
  3. 2026-01-293mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 29, 2026, Apple Inc. (“Apple”) issued a press release regarding Apple’s financial results for its first fiscal quarter ended December 27, 2025. A copy of Apple’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information contained in this Current Report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under t…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 7
  4. 2026-01-024mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As part of Apple Inc.’s (“Apple’s”) previously announced Principal Accounting Officer transition plan, Apple’s Board of Directors appointed Ben Borders, 45, as Apple’s Principal Accounting Officer, effective January 1, 2026. Mr. Borders succeeds Chris Kondo in the role of Principal Accounting Officer. Mr. Borders joined Apple in November 2010 and a…

    executive changeneutralscore 3
  5. 2025-12-055mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 4, 2025, Apple Inc. (“Apple”) announced that Jennifer Newstead will become Apple’s general counsel on March 1, 2026, following a transition of duties from Kate Adams, who has served as Apple’s general counsel since 2017. Ms. Newstead will join Apple as senior vice president in January, reporting to CEO Tim Cook and serving on Apple’s ex…

    executive changeneutralscore 2
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-05-01 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.