Analog Devices (ADI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$406.24-3.23%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ADI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 4.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 37.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 33.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers
ADI — debt issuance
Dated 2026-09-17
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On September 17, 2026, Analog Devices, Inc. (the “Company”) issued $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of senior notes due September 15, 2029 (the “2029 Notes”), $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of senior notes due October 1, 2031 (the “2031 Notes”), $1,000,000,000 aggregate principal amount of senior notes due October 1, 2033 (the “2033 Notes”) and $1,000,000,000 aggregate principal amount of senior notes due October 1, 2036 (the “2036 No…
Why it matters: ADI set a year-end close target for its $1.35 billion Alif deal. Closing clears a key step toward adding Alif's AI chips.
Supportive ifADI reports that the Alif deal closed by December 31, 2026.
Worry ifADI reports a delay past December 31, 2026, or says the deal will not close.
Why it matters: Alif has shipped chips and won customer designs. Keeping key staff and customers matters for combining the two businesses.
Watch forADI names a production customer or design win for an Alif chip after the deal closes.
Also watch forADI reports that key Alif staff leave, or that a named customer drops an Alif design.
Why it matters: ADI forecast $4.3 billion, with a $100 million range. A result above $4.2 billion would meet that outlook's low end.
Supportive ifQ4 FY2026 revenue is at least $4.2 billion when ADI reports on November 24.
Worry ifQ4 FY2026 revenue is below $4.2 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$137 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $353 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,068 loss on $10,000 · 20.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.