AGCO (AGCO)
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
$110.22-2.19%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AGCO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AGCO — President transition
Dated 2026-10-05
Senior Vice President — Torsten Dehner: The SVP and GM of a major product line is stepping down as part of a leadership restructuring, representing a genuine departure of a senior executive, though the orderly nature and transition support mitigate the negative impact.
Why it matters: EME sales fell 18.1% in Q3, as demand weakened in key European markets. A smaller drop would show the decline is easing.
Worry ifEME sales fall more than 10% year over year in the next reported quarter, excluding currency.
Less concerning ifEME sales fall 10% or less year over year, stay flat, or rise, excluding currency.
Why it matters: North America sales rose 35.1% in Q3, helped by higher equipment and parts sales. Growth above 20% would show the region remains a bright spot.
Supportive ifNorth America sales rise more than 20% year over year in the next quarter, excluding currency.
Worry ifNorth America sales rise 20% or less, stay flat, or fall year over year, excluding currency.
Why it matters: AGCO cut its 2026 EPS outlook from about $6.00 to $5.50. Meeting the new target would show it can protect earnings in a weak market.
Supportive ifAGCO reports 2026 adjusted EPS of at least $5.50.
Worry ifAGCO reports 2026 adjusted EPS below $5.50 or cuts the outlook again.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$155 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $396 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,992 loss on $10,000 · 29.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.