C3.ai, Inc. (AI)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.46-4.04%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -3.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
AI — litigation filed
Dated 2026-07-17
Other Events. Ruling on Motion to Dismiss Securities Class Action Complaint As previously disclosed, a putative securities class action complaint (captioned John Liggett, Sr., et al. v. C3 AI, Inc., et al. , No. 3:25-cv-07129-TLT) was filed on August 22, 2025, in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California against C3.ai, Inc. (the “Company”) and certain of its officers. On July 14, 2026, the Court granted defendants’ motion to dismiss the complaint in its entirety. The Cou…
Why it matters: Hitting the $135 million in annual savings is key for financial health.
Supportive ifThe company reports big cost savings from its restructuring plan.
Worry ifThe company did not achieve the expected cost savings from the restructuring plan.
Why it matters: A smaller operating loss shows better cost control. It means the company is closer to making money.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP operating loss for Q2 fiscal 2027 is less than $(34.5) million.
Worry ifNon-GAAP operating loss for Q2 fiscal 2027 exceeds $(34.5) million.
Why it matters: An increase in gross profit margin would signal better cost control and pricing power. This is key for long-term profitability.
Supportive ifGross profit margin reported above 22%.
Worry ifGross profit margin falls below 22%.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows good cost management. It also means the company runs efficiently.
Supportive ifC3 AI reports positive cash flow from operations in Q2 fiscal 2027.
Worry ifC3 AI reports negative cash flow from operations in Q2 fiscal 2027.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$204 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $579 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,053 loss on $10,000 · 60.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Negative cash flow shows ongoing financial stress. It also shows challenges in making money.
Worry ifCash flow from operations was worse than last quarter's negative $54.4 million.
Less concerning ifCash flow from operations was positive in Q1 fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: Revenue guidance will show if the turnaround plan is gaining traction. It is a key indicator of growth potential.
Supportive ifRevenue guidance for Q2 fiscal 2027 falls within the range of $51 million to $55 million.
Worry ifGuidance for Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue falls below $51 million.
Why it matters: A drop in gross profit means less money made. Management is focused on this.
Worry ifGross profit falls below $9M.
Less concerning ifGross profit rises above $9M.
Why it matters: A big drop in operating losses would show better cost management.
Supportive ifOperating losses were below -$121.2M in Q1.
Worry ifOperating losses are still over -$121.2M. This shows ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Better cash flow would show the company is getting more stable. It shows improved operations.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations reported as less negative than $(54.4M).
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative or worsens.
Why it matters: Missing revenue guidance would show that growth efforts are not effective. This is a key management goal.
Worry ifRevenue growth does not meet guidance expectations.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth is higher than expected.
Why it matters: The result of the class action could affect investor trust and stock value.
Watch forCourt ruling on the litigation remains favorable for C3.ai.
Also watch forNew news in the lawsuit is hurting C3.ai's stock price.
Why it matters: If revenue meets or exceeds guidance, it shows growth is improving after recent drops.
Supportive ifQ1 revenue reported between $210.0M and $240.0M as guided.
Worry ifQ1 revenue was below $210.0M. This shows growth is still facing challenges.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals a slowdown in the tech sector. This could impact C3.ai's performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its median for two consecutive months.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth stays above its median for the same period.
Why it matters: Higher savings would indicate effective cost management and could lead to improved financial results. It is vital for cash flow.
Supportive ifThey said they will save over $135M by restructuring.
Worry ifSavings fall short of $135M.
Why it matters: Less cash burn would help management with their restructuring plans.
Supportive ifCash burn reported lower than $135 million in Q1 fiscal 2027.
Worry ifCash burn reported higher than $135 million in Q1 fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: Achieving these savings would help with efficiency. It would also help cut losses.
Supportive ifIn the second half of fiscal 2027, non-GAAP cost savings of $135 million are expected.
Worry ifNo major cost savings were reported. No extra restructuring is needed.
Why it matters: A drop below this level could signal cash burn issues and impact future operations.
Worry ifCash, cash equivalents, and investments were below $575 million.
Less concerning ifCash, cash equivalents, and investments were above $600 million.
Why it matters: Better gross profit margins mean the company can set prices and manage costs better.
Supportive ifGross profit reported above $11.3M.
Worry ifGross profit reported below $11.3M.